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If the Germans had captured Moscow, what do you think would have happened?

Discussion in 'What If - European Theater - Eastern Front & Balka' started by C.Evans, Jan 2, 2001.

  1. C.Evans

    C.Evans Expert

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    Whats your opinions on, if the Germans had captured Moscow. Do you think it would have really changed anything? I suppose there was a slim chance but, I doubt it. There were too many Russian armies in and around that sacred city. Most likely, it would have been a battle of attrition, just like Stalingrad.
     
  2. Sgt. Schultz

    Sgt. Schultz Member

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    HI.C: You know, thats just what I was thinking. I think the battle would be as bad, if not evev worse than stalingrad.
     
  3. PzJgr

    PzJgr Drill Instructor

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    If the Germans had captured Moscow before the onset of Winter as originally planned, it would not have changed a thing since Stalin would have unleased the same winter offensive them. If the Germans had taken Moscow after defeating the Russian offensive, It would not have changed anything other than prolonging the war and maybe preventing the Russians from getting the advantages of Lend Lease when they did. The question would then be, would the Russians have proceeded with their attempts to seek a peace offering from Hitler as it is now known they were ready to do or would they have stuck it out?

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    Tschuss
     
  4. Killjoy

    Killjoy Member

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    Although it has been said that the fall of moscow would have had little or no impact on the Russian war effort, I believe the psychological effect might have been the "little extra" needed to make Uncle Io sue for peace...
    Iosef was allegedly already wailing into his vodka flask about having "ruined all that Lenin had achieved..." (paraphrase, almost certainly) and considering throwing in the towel.
    If Moscow had fallen, I believe it would have been: Round One to Germany, and this defeat used to rally the Russian people for a sort of "Patriotic Crusade" to free the captured territories of the Rodina in perhaps a year or so...

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  5. C.Evans

    C.Evans Expert

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    Thank you for your opinions. I agree, I do not think anything would really change, except casualty figures, and possibly slightly prolong the war.
     
  6. J.Mahoney

    J.Mahoney Member

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    I think the germans would have completly trashed moscow, which would have pissed off the russians that much more.
     
  7. C.Evans

    C.Evans Expert

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    I just wonder how things would have been, if the Germans had captured, and held Moscow. I feel that the Russians would lose a million troops trying to retake Moscow, that could be used elsewhere. Maybe someone like Zaitsev, would have used his rifle on Stalin.
     
  8. Wittmann

    Wittmann Member

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    It would have changed as much as it did for Napoleon
     
  9. De Vlaamse Leeuw

    De Vlaamse Leeuw Member

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    If Army group Center took Moscow in december 1941, Russia would lose the war.

    Stalin would have fled of killed himself if he knew that the Germans were trying to capture him.

    In the beginning of 1942 Russians would try to liberate Moscow, but they would fail. They would face a few panzerdivisions, 10 infantrydivisions, the Luftwaffe, (Waffen)SS-troops.

    Then conquest of Leningrad and Stalingrad would be more easy, because the armies in the south and the north would have been used to conquer Moscow.
     
  10. Stevin

    Stevin Ace

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    No way, Stalin would have flown out of Moscow to somewhere behind the ural and continue the fight from there. Most industry was already relocated behind the ural and it would have been just a matter of time before a great Russian offensive would have re-taken Moscow.

    Hitler had nowehere to run and killed himself. Stalin had almost a whole continent to 'hide'...
     
  11. Sniper

    Sniper Member

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    I agree with Stevin. Stalin would have moved out of Moscow (maybe at the last minute) and would have set up base in the Urals.

    Then he would have committed everyone he could lay his hands on to regain Moscow. He probably would have risked moving some of the Divisions he had in the East facing Japan.

    It would have been a great cause for the Motherland and he would not have worried about casualty figures, only the end result.

    It may have prolonged the war another year but eventually the result would have been the same.

    __________________________________

    " If there is another war in Europe, it will come out of some damned silly thing in the Balkans" Otto von Bismark, August 1945
     
  12. PzJgr

    PzJgr Drill Instructor

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    I also agree with Steven. Losing Moscow did not necessarily mean losing the war. Though Moscow was the communication center for the Soviet Union, it would have been the focus for the Russian counteroffensive. Stalin would have left Moscow with the intent to retake it.
     
  13. CrazyD

    CrazyD Ace

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    Yup, I'd say you gents are right on the money. I think Sniper put it best- it would have probably prolonged the war for a year (at the most!), but the end result would have been the same. The russians probably would have lost staggering amounts of troops in re-taking moscow, since this early in the war they were still reeling from Stalin's officer purges and their tactics were sub-par. But the manpower reserves available could sustain that.
    As far as the fighting goes, I'd also agree that the fighting for moscow would make stalingrad look easy...
     
  14. Stevin

    Stevin Ace

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    I have to correct myself on one point though; Stalin wouldn't have flown out. According to Beevor a command train was prepared for his "escape". All geared up and ready to go, but never used by Stalin.
     
  15. Friedrich

    Friedrich Expert

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    Have to agree with Stevin. Stalin would have held and stayed in Moscow and comitted suicide as well as in Berlin four years later... And the capture of Moscow, the fall of the comunist regime meant the partial collapse of the Soviet Union, because then all the front would have collapsed for the Russians and stabilised for the Germans. And even with the huge industry and resources behind the Urals, without their capital and their government they were not very strong and would have asked for an armistice for sure...
     
  16. dasreich

    dasreich Member

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    In Napoleons time, Moscow wasnt as important as it was in ww2. It was more or less just the capital. Not so in the second world war. The rail network, the spirit of the Soviet Union, and the sole man moving the war effort(Stalin) all lay in Moscow. A German victory MAY not have meant total victory, but it would be the icing on the Russian cake, and would have forced the crumbling union to accept humiliating peace terms.

    Essentially, I agree with Friedrich. ;)
     
  17. Friedrich

    Friedrich Expert

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    Fibally somebody sees the truth!!! :rolleyes:
     
  18. Avatar47

    Avatar47 Member

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    Thread needs reviving :) Besides, it wasn't really discussed much (1 page??)

    Serious historians don't speculate much on what might have happened if Moscow fell, at least from the books I've read. However, some seem to indicate that the fall of Moscow would have led to serious, no, massive transportation/logistic issues for the fronts north and south of Moscow. Had it fallen in September 41, as Guderian was arguing for, then a stablised German front some 50-100km east of Moscow would most likely have blunted any offensive that the Russians were still capable of. People speak alot about "Well then those 650,000 Russians near Kiev would have escaped". Well, that immobile mass of troops would have done close to nothing even had they not been encircled. They were only useful for defensive operations, and it could hardly be expected for STAVKA to move that mass EAST of Moscow in time for an effective winter attack aimed at liberating Moscow. German success at taking Moscow would have, in addition, been a signal to the Japanese to start their Far Eastern campaign in Siberia, which as we know, the Russians stripped of most divisions.

    IMO, Moscow being lost would have meant the effective collapse of the Soviet Union, and a new power struggle commencing in the remaining lands to the east. The Battle of Moscow was truly among, if not the, most decisive battle of the war.
     
  19. Za Rodinu

    Za Rodinu Aquila non capit muscas

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  20. tikilal

    tikilal Ace

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    Nice to see the horse again.

    If Moscow had fallen would Hitler have actually tuned the city into a lake?
     

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