My alternative scenario: Lets say Japan's high command decides to draw back from anymore escalation in China and is content with the Manchurian conquest. Japan and Chiang's government settle on a cease fire treaty between armed forces and agree to divide territorial borders in Northern China. With China out of the war to deal with its civil war with possible support from Japan to oberliterate the Maoists, Japan will have a fully operational military capacity for other territorial ambitions. What do you guys think would most likey happen next in the pacific? I don't think Japan would waste its military might to take soviet far east territories besides Bailkal lake. The Russian far east seemed too limited in natural resources and Russian armour would make a real far east war more disasterous and wasted effort for Japan than China was.