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Old November 23rd, 2006, 01:52 AM
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Post German Tonnage War Strategy

As an avid war gamer/history buff, I would like to see a game designed too allow for 'what ifs' to be included. I would love to see this one played out!

For background, German Industrialists anticipate a new World War. In preparation (circa 1920-1930), a team of aircraft engineers & naval ship designers are sent to japan to lend German perspective & gain Japanese practical experience in these fields(thus allowing Germany to prepare plans for more modern versions of aircraft and warships). Particular emphasis being placed on submarines, seaplanes, steam catapults, and submersible barges. If such a venture were funded from non-government sources(say a group of wealthy industrialists), Germany's economical and political difficulties of this era would be no bar. By mid 1930's plans are complete and Germany begins gaining practical experience with these new technologies. By 1940, The modified submarine fleet is deployed in the Atlantic, and the seaplanes await their orders...

Basically, this 'what if' pre-supposes that a group of far thinking German strategic planers, well in advance of the start of hostilities, put submarines and aircraft together(as the army did with the use of massed tanks/ground support aircraft for the 'Blitz' plans) to forge a new weapon of war. The plan would be to build an initial force of about 300 military seaplanes(capable of carrying 4 torpedoes each), flying at least 150 MPH, and have a total range of at least 600-700 miles. The seaplanes(larger cousins to the American PBY) would be able to fly out to sea, land on the surface, motor astride a partially submerged U-boat/barge, and then be re-fueled, re-armed, and swap crews(the submarines/barges would be their spare crew quarters, fuel tanks, and armaments magazines).

Submarine tactics/capabilities:
Spread out to locate convoys, radio location-course-speed & trail. Other submarines receive info, and mass for concentrated attack. Attacking subs evade escorts, penetrate the convoy and make attack.

Submarine problems:
Slow speed, so only a handful of subs would be able to engage a particular convoy. Vulnerable to counter attack, basically defenseless while avoiding the depth charging by convoy escorts(and completely incapable of making additional attacks while doing so). And having to catch up too the convoy afterwords. This meant that only a small part of the deployed subs even got to make an attack on a given convoy, often only being able to attack the convoy one time before being driven away.

The modifications to the submarines would be no conning tower, a steam catapult the length of the sub, and the ability to tow 1(or more) submersible supply barges. The tactical improvements would be dramatic. The submarines no longer have to close with the convoys and risk being sunk by escorts.

Seaplanes tactics/capabilities:
The seaplanes, flying 10,000 feet above sea level at 150 MPH, have a much increased chance of detecting a convoy, so the chances of a convoy not being detected is reduced to practically nil. The seaplanes could attack any convoy within 150 mile radius of the sub (and with multiple, dispersed subs, this covers virtually the entire north Atlantic). Using the seaplanes, the entire force could mass for an attack on any convoy. If the convoy were an hours flight from the subs, the seaplanes raids could fly out, spend an hour orbiting/attacking, fly back to the subs (or to other subs ahead of the convoy), re-fuel/re-arm, and repeat. Under ideal conditions, the seaplanes could make 2-4 raids a day, while still allowing the subs to stay well out of harms way.

The material cost to the German war effort (building an initial force of 300 seaplanes instead of 300 land based planes), and configuring the subs as seaplane tenders (which the Japanese had), would be negligible. Had the Germans had such detailed plans/forces developed in time for the war...

[ 29. November 2006, 09:50 AM: Message edited by: Otto ]
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Old November 23rd, 2006, 02:22 AM
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I can see a number of problems with your 'what if' question.

The German Navy and German Air Force had very little to do with each other. The navy would have to spend money on aircraft instead of ships or U-boats. In the 1930's money was in short supply due to the depression.

The Atlantic ocean is not as calm as the Pacific and sea planes would not last long in the waves and storms of the Atlantic.

Navigation over the ocean was not that great in WWII and finding a submarine in the ocean would be difficult. The sub could send radio beams to navigate by but the Royal Navy could also home in on the beams too. The Royal Navy had carriers and the Germans did not.

Taking a seaplane apart on the ocean and then putting it back together in the ocean is time consuming and dangerous.

I think the biggest problem is the lack of coorperation between the German air force and the German Navy over resourses and how to run the war.

Welcome to the forums !
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Old November 23rd, 2006, 03:42 AM
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Thanks for the speedy reply!

Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
I can see a number of problems with your 'what if' question.

The German Navy and German Air Force had very little to do with each other. The navy would have to spend money on aircraft instead of ships or U-boats. In the 1930's money was in short supply due to the depression.
Your correct that the airforce and army were very much closer to Hitler's heart. Then again, the navy never came to Hitler and said "we got a great new way to wage a war at sea, and you don't have to spend years building lots of costly battleships to win. Given the amount of money being spent at the time, I don't think this would be a problem, as the aircraft and subs were alreadly being built anyway.

My 'what if' doesn't call for more planes/subs, just different ones. Also, the Navy commander (Reader I think), was planning for war only after Germany had build the famous 'Z' plan, and that would have taken years and alot more reasources.
Again, had the navy had someone able to bring Hitler around to this idea (which would have been vastly more cost effective), it would have been possible.


Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
The Atlantic ocean is not as calm as the Pacific and sea planes would not last long in the waves and storms of the Atlantic.
One of the reasons too have multiple, dispersed groups of submarines would be to allow the seaplanes to avoid the storms. If sub groups A and B are in stormy areas, seaplanes would divert to sub group C. Given the ability to thus avoid all but the worst storms (the seaplanes could always just head for shore if it got too bad), I don't think this would hinder their operations in the 3 months it would take them to win the war, namely July-Aug-Sep 1940.


Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
Navigation over the ocean was not that great in WWII and finding a submarine in the ocean would be difficult. The sub could send radio beams to navigate by but the Royal Navy could also home in on the beams too. The Royal Navy had carriers and the Germans did not.
Exactly! And the British did exactly that. One of the factors mostly overlooked today, the German navy had no way of knowing what the weather was like in the N. Atlantic, and were thus forced to have their submarines make radio transmissions reporting on just that. This fact was of enormous advantage to the brittish code breakers, as weather reports always had the same format, and gave the subs position away. If aircraft had been able to make these weather reports, no subs would have been forced to give up their locations.

As for the British carriers, they would have them just exactly long enough for one battle. Unlike the American and Japanese carriers of the day, the British carriers were still using bi-planes.

If the germans had 25 squadrons of 12 planes each(figure 5 scout/recon squadrons, and 20 strike squadrons). Say on any given day 40% were availible. This would give the Germans 24 scouts and 96 torpedo bombers. Facing them would be (at most) 3 British carriers. I doubt that the British could mass their carriers fast enough (or at all) to put more than 3 in the same battle.

So, possibly 60-90 antique bi-plane fighters, getting to watch their carriers being torpedoed and then having to ditch in the sea. Even granting the Impossible and say the Brit fighters managed to down an entire squadron per carrier sunk, the British would not be able to replace those carriers, and the Germans could very easily replace 36 planes! The beautiful thing about a seaplane, it's flightdeck is the ocean surface, and is unsinkable.

Given these conditions, the German navy would have control of the sea in short order. And given that after the first strike, the remaining torpedo bombers would return and finish the job without fighter opposition. Surface ships would be so much meat marching to the slaughter.


Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
Taking a seaplane apart on the ocean and then putting it back together in the ocean is time consuming and dangerous.
I said nothing about taking them apart. [img]smile.gif[/img]


Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
I think the biggest problem is the lack of coorperation between the German air force and the German Navy over resourses and how to run the war.

Welcome to the forums !
Personality conflicts in the german command structure apart(what if), i wonder how long it would take to starve the British into surrender?

Thanks!
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Old November 23rd, 2006, 04:22 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Shadow Master:
As an avid war gamer/history buff, I would like to see a game designed too allow for 'what ifs' to be included. I would love to see this one played out!
Its not hard to do with the older manual boardgames. Even decompiling computer based game does not ensure you can easily find the data you wish to change. This is a major, major weakness of computer based games; the lack of ability to analyze the algorythims used in their play. But, of course, usually these are so bad and detached from reality beyond the techincal level of strategy they can be summarily dismissed as irrelevant to historical accuracy.

Quote:

For background, German Industrialists anticipate a new World War. In preparation (circa 1920-1930), a team of aircraft engineers & naval ship designers are sent to japan to lend German perspective & gain Japanese practical experience in these fields(thus allowing Germany to prepare plans for more modern versions of aircraft and warships). Particular emphasis being placed on submarines, seaplanes, steam catapults, and submersible barges. If such a venture were funded from non-government sources(say a group of wealthy industrialists), Germany's economical and political difficulties of this era would be no bar. By mid 1930's plans are complete and Germany begins gaining practical experience with these new technologies. By 1940, The modified submarine fleet is deployed in the Atlantic, and the seaplanes await their orders...
There was some exchange of information between Germany and Japan, mostly in Japan's favor. The Germans were more than a bit dismissive of Japanese technology, as was much of the West. In technical details, the Germans were ahead of Japan in shipboard technology. The Japanese had not widely adopted welding, diesel engines, high pressure steam plants, and had inferior armor quality.
The steam catapult was unknown at this time. Catapults were either impulse (fired by a black powder or guncotton charge), hydraulic, or mechnanical.

Quote:

Basically, this 'what if' pre-supposes that a group of far thinking German strategic planers, well in advance of the start of hostilities, put submarines and aircraft together(as the army did with the use of massed tanks/ground support aircraft for the 'Blitz' plans) to forge a new weapon of war. The plan would be to build an initial force of about 300 military seaplanes(capable of carrying 4 torpedoes each), flying at least 150 MPH, and have a total range of at least 600-700 miles. The seaplanes(larger cousins to the American PBY) would be able to fly out to sea, land on the surface, motor astride a partially submerged U-boat/barge, and then be re-fueled, re-armed, and swap crews(the submarines/barges would be their spare crew quarters, fuel tanks, and armaments magazines).
It has already been noted that landing in the Atlantic will be difficult at best. Conditions rarely allow for this and certainly will not on a regular basis.

Quote:

Submarine tactics/capabilities:
Spread out to locate convoys, radio location-course-speed & trail. Other submarines receive info, and mass for concentrated attack. Attacking subs evade escorts, penetrate the convoy and make attack.
This was Donitz' original scheme using wolfpacks.

Quote:

Submarine problems:
Slow speed, so only a handful of subs would be able to engage a particular convoy. Vulnerable to counter attack, basically defenseless while avoiding the depth charging by convoy escorts(and completely incapable of making additional attacks while doing so). And having to catch up too the convoy afterwords. This meant that only a small part of the deployed subs even got to make an attack on a given convoy, often only being able to attack the convoy one time before being driven away.
This was why Donitz wanted the subs to attack on the surface where they had a 18 + knot speed and could in many cases outrun escorting ships. The problem for the Germans was that technology overtook the plan, particularly radar.

Quote:

The modifications to the submarines would be no conning tower, a steam catapult the length of the sub, and the ability to tow 1(or more) submersible supply barges. The tactical improvements would be dramatic. The submarines no longer have to close with the convoys and risk being sunk by escorts.
Being lower in the water a submarine is more vulnerable to flooding through hatches. Exactly where is a submarine with diesel engines going to get steam? Are you suggesting a regression to the ill-fated British K class of WW 1? A submersible towed barge would require some sort of remote control for flooding as well as connections for compressed air (to deballast and surface) along with a number of other technical details complicating their use.
Having to remain for long periods on the surface during the day would actually increase the submarine's vulnerability to detection and attack from Allied patrol aircraft. The presence of a slow submerging barge and possibly aircraft in the process of refueling and rearming also increases the vulnerability. Even if the sub does manage to evade by submerging the aircraft sitting on the surface are now sitting ducks for destruction.

Quote:

Seaplanes tactics/capabilities:
The seaplanes, flying 10,000 feet above sea level at 150 MPH, have a much increased chance of detecting a convoy, so the chances of a convoy not being detected is reduced to practically nil. The seaplanes could attack any convoy within 150 mile radius of the sub (and with multiple, dispersed subs, this covers virtually the entire north Atlantic). Using the seaplanes, the entire force could mass for an attack on any convoy. If the convoy were an hours flight from the subs, the seaplanes raids could fly out, spend an hour orbiting/attacking, fly back to the subs (or to other subs ahead of the convoy), re-fuel/re-arm, and repeat. Under ideal conditions, the seaplanes could make 2-4 raids a day, while still allowing the subs to stay well out of harms way.
And, with the increased air threat and decreased submarine threat the Allies would more quickly ensure their ships had better air defenses. The flying boats would be very vulnerable to defending fighters and, since attacking ships successfully can only be done at low levels they are vulnerable to AA fire as well. Even a damaged aircraft is likely to be lost so far from home without repair facilities. Flying relatively slow and at the altitudes suggested also implies that by mid 1940 they will almost certainly be detected by naval vessels on radar long before they can close to visual distance.

Quote:

The material cost to the German war effort (building an initial force of 300 seaplanes instead of 300 land based planes), and configuring the subs as seaplane tenders (which the Japanese had), would be negligible. Had the Germans had such detailed plans/forces developed in time for the war...
Building 300 large seaplanes will be a significant drag on the German aircraft industry. Look at their original production figures. The Japanese had no submarine based seaplane tenders. Yes, they had several classes that carried a small float plane for scouting that was used occasionally, and there was the larger I 400 class with 3 float planes each for attacking the Panama Canal that first came into service in 1944 but these were not tenders by any stretch.
Another problem for the Germans was that the Japanese boats were far larger than any prewar U-boat. The Type VII is a very small submarine and the Type IX is not that much larger. On the whole, I don't see this as a workable or desirable alternative.
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Old November 23rd, 2006, 07:07 AM
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Thanks for the reply!

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

There was some exchange of information between Germany and Japan, mostly in Japan's favor. In technical details, the Germans were ahead of Japan in shipboard technology. The Japanese had not widely adopted welding, diesel engines, high pressure steam plants, and had inferior armor quality. The steam catapult was unknown at this time. Catapults were either impulse (fired by a black powder or guncotton charge), hydraulic, or mechanical.
I didn't know that! Which kind of catapults were the most common? Which were the most powerful? I do know that the Japanese built better naval aviation aircraft, and better torpedoes. Also, the primary benefit would be to get working prototypes and work out the bugs in Japanese home waters. Once the Germans had practical experience mating seaplanes to submarines, they could begin production.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

It has already been noted that landing in the Atlantic will be difficult at best. Conditions rarely allow for this and certainly will not on a regular basis.
I have to say that I don't buy the weather being able to completely shutdown the seaplanes. Simply avoid the storms. I can't imagine the entire North Atlantic having storms everywhere. Where the seas are too rough, head too the rest of the ocean not having storms. If some convoys are sailing through rough seas, you attack the other convoys that are not! There would almost certainly be some place (on any given day) where the 'weather permitting' would be true.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

This was Donitz' original scheme using wolfpacks. This was why Donitz wolf packs wanted the subs to attack on the surface where they had a 18 + knot speed and could in many cases outrun escorting ships. The problem for the Germans was that technology overtook the plan, particularly radar.
This misses the point, any threats too the seaplanes would be MORE of a threat to the subs. So the subs could sometimes escape on the surface (mainly at night), but the seaplanes would be over 100 knots faster, and could easily break contact (In minutes, not hours), and be back again within a few hours.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

Being lower in the water a submarine is more vulnerable to flooding through hatches.
And despite this, the subs operated succesfully in the stormy N.A. throughout the war. My plan would have the subs in the clamer areas. I should point out: I do not think the British would have been able to last till winter 1940 (the stormiest weather months). I think that the torpedo bombers would give Germany the ability to fight a 3 month 'Blitz' and sink such vast numbers of merchant shipping as to force British capitulation well befor dec 7, 1940. A full year befor pearl harbour!

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

A submersible towed barge would require some sort of remote control for flooding as well as connections for compressed air (to deballast and surface) along with a number of other technical details complicating their use.
I planed to have crews in each barge with generators/battery backup like the subs, just not as powerful (the barges would be power self-sufficient in all respects save propulsion)


Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

Having to remain for long periods on the surface during the day would actually increase the submarine's vulnerability to detection and attack from Allied patrol aircraft.
What 'allied patrol aircraft'? I would never deploy the submarines within range of land based allied aircraft, because they would be sitting ducks.

Keep in mind that until the deployment of US 'Escort carriers' later in the war, there always remaind a gap in allied air cover. In the summer 1940, this gap would be huge! This is where Donitz successfully deployed his wolf packs.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

The presence of a slow submerging barge and possibly aircraft in the process of refueling and rearming also increases the vulnerability. Even if the sub does manage to evade by submerging the aircraft sitting on the surface are now sitting ducks for destruction.
Again, assuming the allies had ANY air cover, it would have to be carrier based, not land based. Keep in mind the usual wartime routine of sending your scouts out well before dawn, so that at dawn, they are on station. A carrier battle group or convoy is going to be spotted long befor a couple of slow moving/stationary subs. And even if you spot them, you still need to be able to get your air strike in befor they submerge (and meanwhile, they are gunning for your carrier, which cannot submerge).

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

And, with the increased air threat and decreased submarine threat the Allies would more quickly ensure their ships had better air defenses.
Even in the last days of the war, AA fire was not capable of driving off/smashing air attacks. Yes, better AA would mean more planes shot down (on average), but considering the tradeoff (100,000's of tons of allied shipping vs some aircraft), that is a winning strategy for Germany. And considering the historical tradeoff of subs for merchant tonnage that almost worked...

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

The flying boats would be very vulnerable to defending fighters and, since attacking ships successfully can only be done at low levels they are vulnerable to AA fire as well. Even a damaged aircraft is likely to be lost so far from home without repair facilities.
While that is true, again there will not be 'defending fighters' after the first raid, as British carriers didn't have modern aircraft in 1940 and definately wouldn't be able too fight off scores of torpedo bombers, and once those carriers are hit, it's all over. AA fire never shot down as many aircraft as fighters, and given the time frame (three short months), I doubt any amount of additional AA armament would make a difference.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

Flying relatively slow and at the altitudes suggested also implies that by mid 1940 they will almost certainly be detected by naval vessels on radar long before they close to visual distance.
Not all allied ships had radar, but granted that almost all convoys/task forces would have at least one radar equipped ship: Seeing the aircraft on radar, is not the same a stopping them. Nor surviving the raid.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

Building 300 large seaplanes will be a significant drag on the German aircraft industry. Look at their original production figures.
I don't know where to find that. However, they had 3,000 aircraft by the BoB, yes? I think that fighting the British at sea (where their only aircraft were few and far between/antiques), would be much more sensible than fighting them on their home turf.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:

The Japanese had no submarine based seaplane tenders. Yes, they had several classes that carried a small float plane for scouting that was used occasionally, and there was the larger I 400 class with 3 float planes each for attacking the Panama Canal that first came into service in 1944 but these were not tenders by any stretch.

Another problem for the Germans was that the Japanese boats were far larger than any prewar U-boat. The Type VII is a very small submarine and the Type IX is not that much larger. On the whole, I don't see this as a workable or desirable alternative.
I guess I should say: not in the sense of having a sub long catapult throwing the plane aloft. However, they did use submarines to haul parts/fuel for seaplanes to the different island garrisons. If a tender means extending the operational capabilities, then they did have that. If tender means arming torpedoes, launching the seaplane, then they didn't.


I do believe that weather and personality conflicts notwithstanding, this change in strategy would be both workable and very desirable. I don't recall the # of U-Boats built and lost in the war, but consider this: every U-Boat lost (and replaced) would be more than the cost or replacing a 12 plane squadron of seaplane torpedo bombers. Every 12 plane squadron of seaplane torpedo bombers is going to sink allot more merchant tonnage than a single sub. As Germany is loosing planes, the allies are loosing ships! You cannot ask for a better return than that!
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Old November 23rd, 2006, 11:40 PM
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I would not be too quick to dismiss Swordfish and Sea Gladiators as old biplane aircraft. The Germans and Italians did so and deeply regreted doing so. Most of the German heavy ships at the time also had biplanes for recon and range finding.

Can you give an example of the type of seaplane or flying boat you had in mind for the submarines ? I would guess it would have to be big, multi-engine, and very sturdy. The Germans had the Blohm Und Voss Bv-222 and Bv-238 but they were huge and would cost a fortune to build 300. The Bv-138 was a good design but could not carry four torpedos, unless they were of reduced size.
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Old November 24th, 2006, 01:54 AM
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As far as interception: Whether the British have Skuas, Fulmars, or Martlets (US Wildcats) on their carriers so long as they have decent radar the strike is doomed.
One can look no further than the Pacific war to see that unescorted poorly armed (and in many cases fairly well armed) bombers (flying boats in this case) are going to get thoroughly worked over long before they arrive on target. At just a 30 mile interception point from the target the Germans could reasonably expect to lose 60 to 70% of a 12 to 15 plane strike to a 4 to 6 plane CAP (see Methods of Operations Research pg 89 to 92 paras 5.2.9 - 5.2.11 by Kimbal and Morse for a analytical model for example).
As for AA, by the end of 1943 Allied AA at sea was getting to a point where it alone was overwhelming.
The outstanding example of this potency was the Battle of Empress Augusta Bay on Nov 2 1943 when Admiral Stanton "Tip" Merrill leading a force of four US light cruisers and four destroyers was attacked by just shy of 100 Japanese G4M "Betty" bombers out of Rabaul carrying a combination of bombs and torpedos. This is a force larger than that that sunk the Prince of Wales and Repulse.
Unlike the British the US ships drew up in a tight circular formation. They opened fire on the Japanese firing a total of over 1000 5" shells (many were VT fuzed) and over 13,000 40mm and 20mm rounds. Over a third of the attacking Japanese bombers were shot down, the vast majority of the rest suffered some degree of damage. The Japanese managed one bomb hit causing knocking out a 5" mount on a light cruiser and killing 5 crew.
From Coral Sea on, the combination of a fighter CAP directed by controllers onboard ship using radar was a virtually unbeatable combination. By Midway the Japanese were taking 60 to 80% strike losses.

On another note: Of the original German seaplanes and float planes available from about 1936 on none are really suitable for the mission you describe. The Bv 138, ostensibly the most modern and widely used, suffered almost 4 years of engine problems many serious in nature. The use of diesel engines on this aircraft also limited its useful service ceiling to about 16,000 feet max. It also could not have lifted two torpedos and its normal bombload was a meer 440 kg in 110 kg bombs. While the He 115 could lift a single torpedo it lacks the range you want and is extremely vulnerable to fighter opposition having a defensive armament of just 3 7.92mm machineguns.
Of the big multi-engined seaplanes like the Bv 222 or 232 that TA152 mentions less than a dozen were built at a rate of just 2 or 3 per year.
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Old November 24th, 2006, 02:07 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
I would not be too quick to dismiss Swordfish and Sea Gladiators as old biplane aircraft. The Germans and Italians did so and deeply regretted doing so. Most of the German heavy ships at the time also had biplanes for recon and range finding.

Can you give an example of the type of seaplane or flying boat you had in mind for the submarines ? I would guess it would have to be big, multi-engine, and very sturdy. The Germans had the Blohm Und Voss Bv-222 and Bv-238 but they were huge and would cost a fortune to build 300. The Bv-138 was a good design but could not carry four torpedoes, unless they were of reduced size.
I knew nothing about the German seaplanes! [img]smile.gif[/img]
I envisioned a plane w/4 (oversize) engines. A large enough wing to support long flights w/torpedoes (either within a Bombay or under wing). Not sure if under wing floats were in use then or not?

When I read about the German navy trying to close the Atlantic with just subs, and knew there HAD to be a better way. Not being a Navy man, i had never heard of any catapults other than steam. If the Germans had conferred with the Japanese, I'm sure they would have built 'float' fighters as they did. A seaplane fighter my not be as nimble/fast as a Land based fighter, but would have to at least be a match for the Brit carrier based planes.

The Brit carriers planes enjoyed the successes they did, because they had no opposing air, right?

I had (2) Idea's I didn't post about the seaplanes earlier, one was either piggybacking(or flying and refueling along the way) a (twin engine) float fighter out to the combat area. And the other was for something like an anti-aircraft suppressor variant. I think I got the idea of the piggyback from seeing a picture of what the Germans were doing in desperation against the B-17's.

When the Bombers would leave the land for deployment, some would takeoff with a fighter mounted on the back. This would allow the float fighter to be brought at least out to the combat area without having to land at sea to fuel several times. I don't think anyone would want to try to land a seaplane (in any weather conditions) with a float fighter strapped on the back.

As for the AA suppressant version, would a 20mm armament be heavy enough to allow strafing runs to be effective? Or would you want something heavier? From building models, and looking at photographs, I see that most AA armament were open emplacements. Warships had DP guns in twin mounts that would also be used for AA, and these couldn't be suppressed.

However, if you strafe the bridge of the ship (and generally along the upper-works) at the same time your torpedo planes are making their runs, this should hinder the lockouts, conning personnel, and many of the unprotected AA gunners.

I also envisioned the attacks going along these lines: A pair of strafing aircraft come in from dead ahead, raking fire from the bridge, and down along either side. This to be repeated by additional pairs as torpedo planes come in from three directions. If a ship has dead/wounded/missing AA gunners, lookouts, & helmsmen, dodging the incoming torpedoes (from three directions) is going to be most difficult. Such tactics would have to be carefully rehearsed (like the training for the sub crews).

Can you (or anyone else) direct me too a website that has some good technical info on all the seaplanes pre/during WWII? As well as the Brit carrier aircraft? Things like range/load, speed/ceiling, and such? Also, the tech info for the various light mount (20mm) AA guns?

Thanks!
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Old November 24th, 2006, 04:55 AM
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We meet again! [img]smile.gif[/img]
I have too say thank you guys! I was beginning to think i was the ONLY one who was interested in WWII history. Now too find that there is not only a dedicated site, but peopled by others (many of whom obviously have knowledge far greater than my own), who are at least as interested as i am, well that rocks!


Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
As far as interception: Whether the British have Skuas, Fulmars, or Martlets (US Wildcats) on their carriers so long as they have decent radar the strike is doomed. One can look no further than the Pacific war to see that unescorted, (flying boats in this case) are going to get thoroughly worked over long before they arrive on target. At just a 30 mile interception point from the target the Germans could reasonably expect to lose 60 to 70% of a 12 to 15 plane strike to a 4 to 6 plane CAP (see Methods of Operations Research pg 89 to 92 paras 5.2.9 - 5.2.11 by Kimbal and Morse for a analytical model for example).
Please see my other post for possible fighter escort/AA counter.

(Is this work available on-line? I would like to read that myself if so).
What level of training does this model take into account? Does it for example take into consideration that the initial battles in this 'what if' would be taking place between Brit aircrews taken by (strategic) surprise? In being subjected to strong torpedo bomber raids out in the middle of the Atlantic, well beyond the suspected range of any German aircraft?

If not, how many months/years would it take the Royal navy to get up too speed? Keep in mind, given an initial starting force of 5 scout and 20 strike squadrons. Supposing a 40% initial deployment in late June 1940 thru end of September 1940 as the probable decisive period of this 'sea blitz'. The Germans would locate just about every convoy as sea, and be able to mass their forces for maximum effect. In the case of a carrier escorting a convoy/carrier battle group, I would expect the Germans to hit it with every bomber they could bring too bear, all at once!

Keeping in mind that the German aircrews would be fighting against opponents they were trained for (and expecting too) meet in battle, and that the Brits wouldn't be, I think the previous model my be a tad optimistic. Nevertheless, let us assume (for the sake of argument) that in this first encounter the Brits manage to down an entire squadron of the bombers. If the Germans hit the carrier with 'everything they had' that would be 90+ bombers.

Results: 12 bombers lost in Raid one, day one! Raid two, day one, remaining 80+ bombers (having finished the Brit carrier very easily in the first raid), return to and decimate the remaining warships, or just ignore the task-force and wipe a convoy. Raid three, day one, 80 or so bombers find and wipe next convoy. Day two, Raid one etc...

My expectation is that in the 92 days from July 1st thru Sep 30th, 1940 the Germans would be capable of destroying approximately 200 convoys/task forces! I do not have at my disposal the information on the exact tonnage of supplies needed to keep Briton in the war, but am confident that this 'sea blitz', even if the North Atlantic weather forced their total re-deployment into the Mediterranean Sea till spring, would have crippled (if not finished) Briton.

Questions: How many total carriers did RN have in summer 1940? Of these, how many were in home/N. Atlantic waters? How many in E. Med? India? Far east? I think it likely, that by the time of the Bismark setting sail, no RN capital ships would be left to oppose her except those kept in port.

Also, if the Germans had realized the (Strategic) potential presented to them by using this method, supposing a steady reinforcing of a squadron a month would not be beyond reason.

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
[QB] As for AA, by the end of 1943 Allied AA at sea was getting to a point where it alone was overwhelming.
That sounds allot like one the the dedicated AA research groups! Was it?

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
[QB]From Coral Sea on, the combination of a fighter CAP directed by controllers on-board ship using radar was a virtually unbeatable combination. By Midway the Japanese were taking 60 to 80% strike losses.
Cough! What?!?! [img]smile.gif[/img]

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
[QB]On another note: Of the original German seaplanes and float planes available from about 1936 on none are really suitable for the mission you describe. The Bv 138, ostensibly the most modern and widely used, suffered almost 4 years of engine problems many serious in nature. The use of diesel engines on this aircraft also limited its useful service ceiling to about 16,000 feet max. It also could not have lifted two torpedoes and its normal bomb-load was a mere 440 kg in 110 kg bombs. While the He 115 could lift a single torpedo it lacks the range you want and is extremely vulnerable to fighter opposition having a defensive armament of just 3 7.92mm machine guns. Of the big multi-engined seaplanes like the Bv 222 or 232 that TA152 mentions less than a dozen were built at a rate of just 2 or 3 per year.
My whole premise is that the Germans (Circa 1920) begin putting plans together for what they would need for this strategy too work. None of the actual seaplanes they produced were intended for the role needed, thus none of them were suitable for the role needed. Had this plan been properly developed, the Germans would have placed building, maintaining, and expanding their seaplane force on the top of their to due list. [img]smile.gif[/img]

If, however, they had thought of this plan (again, 15 years before needing to put the subs/seaplanes into production) could they have made them?
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Old November 24th, 2006, 05:42 PM
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Take a look in the section called Weapons in WWII, and then the aviation linkfest at the top. That should keep you busy for at least 10 years !!!

In the late 30's I don't think they had engines strong enough to lift a heavy seaplane/flying boat and four torpedoes, plus fuel and still be built strong enough for sea duty. Anouther problem for sea aircraft is salt water spray eats all things metal. Keeping the aircraft out to sea with no fresh water spray downs would make them very short lived for the investment.

There are a string of islands in mid Atlantic that belong to Portugal that the Germans could have taken for an aircraft base but I guess they did not think of it. (Portuguese are not too bright so taking them would be a push over.)
Can't get midget submarines to central Texas. [img]graemlins/sub.gif[/img]
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Old November 24th, 2006, 07:07 PM
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Thanks!

Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
[QB] Take a look in the section called Weapons in WWII, and then the aviation linkfest at the top. That should keep you busy for at least 10 years !!!

In the late 30's I don't think they had engines strong enough to lift a heavy seaplane/flying boat and four torpedoes, plus fuel and still be built strong enough for sea duty. Another problem for sea aircraft is salt water spray eats all things metal. Keeping the aircraft out to sea with no fresh water spray downs would make them very short lived for the investment.
When I first thought of this Idea years ago, I had assumed that a 4 engine/4 torpedo craft would be optimal (multiple runs per raid). Keep in mind also, the seaplanes would be getting aloft (while loaded) by using the sub mounted catapults.

I forgot the fact that aviation was just starting out back then. If smaller aircraft would have been the best that could be made workable, say 2 engine/1 torpedo, then they would have to be cheaper (and thus more numerous) as well. I would also expect to see greater speed, as well.

Alas, the links didn't work for me...

I think that while there are some valid points raised in this thread, but i believe a workable force could have been deployed given the 15 years stipulated for research/development/testing in Japanese waters.
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Old November 24th, 2006, 10:10 PM
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Just looking at the seaplane:

Four torpedos weigh about 4 metric tons.
Fuel to lift this load and fly the distances suggested would be about 12 to 15 metric tons.
Since a defensive armament would be required, say several 20mm and 7.92mm or 13mm guns and ammo, add another 1 or 2 metric tons.
So, we are looking at a flying boat weighing in at about 30 to 40 metric tons (say 60 to 80,000 lbs) loaded.
Some flying boats that fit this profile include:
Consolidated PB2Y-3 Coronado
Boeing B-314 (Pan Am Clipper)
Martin PBM Mariner (two engines and just meeting the spec)
Short Sunderland
Blohm u. Voss Ha 139 (barely makes it and does not carry the specified load)

So, such an aircraft is possible. It would be very costly to build and given the German aircraft industry would require an inordinate amount of production capacity to build badly hurting other programs.
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Old November 25th, 2006, 03:14 AM
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On catapults:

The US had Pneumatic, powder, and hydraulic ones in service during the war (they also tested flywheel, jet, steam, and missile launching types as well). The primary ones were:

P Mk IV: A powder driven model used on most battleships through 1942.

P Mk VI: A powder driven model on cruisers.

H 2 and H 2-1: These are the primary pre-war carrier models. Characteristics were 55' run, 7,000 lbs load, 70 mph final velocity.

H 4 (various models): This is the workhorse for the US during the war. Hydraulically driven. Various models launched in 73 to 150 feet 11,000 to 28,000 lbs at 70 to 90 mph.

H 5: A seaplane and floatplane catapult that replaced the powder models on most ships

H 6: Used on tenders to launch large seaplanes. 60,000 lbs at 120 mph.

The British BXC is typical in 1939 for their carriers:
It is a pneumatic-hydraulic unit using a cable and pully arrangement (accelerator) capable of 12,000 lbs at 66 mph in 61 ft.

As for the deadliness of carrier controlled interception I would recommend a persual of Lundstrom's The First Team (2 vols) on US carrier combat through 1943 and naval fighter action over Guadalcanal. Time and again this system (radar and controllers on-board ship) cause phyrric casualties to Japanese strike aircraft right from Coral Sea and on.
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Old November 25th, 2006, 03:42 AM
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Here is a link on the He-115. You can see the size of the aircraft and see it only can carry a single torpedo. It was a late 30's design.


http://www.europa1939.com/luftwaffe/...nto/he115.html

It is too bad the aviation link does not work anymore. It had alot of stuff on it.
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Old November 25th, 2006, 05:21 PM
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Thanks guys! Happy Holidays. [img]smile.gif[/img]

Quote:
Originally posted by TA152:
Here is a link on the He-115. You can see the size of the aircraft and see it only can carry a single torpedo. It was a late 30's design. http://www.europa1939.com/luftwaffe/...nto/he115.html
Cool. The site was in ?Spanish? so I didn't understand most of what was being said other than about a demonstration to show the superiority of the He 115 vs the 'ha 140', I think? The He 115 rests upon 2 pontoons (to my mind making it a 'float plane'), as opposed to a plane with a boat like hull (seaplane).
It did serve to make me ask these questions:

What were the benefits between the two designs? Which allowed for more robust (nasty weather) landings? Which offered greater stability while landing/taking off? While sitting still on the surface? Were there any 'hybrid' (boat like hull + under wing pontoons?). Were there any designs that allowed the pontoons to be 'raised' (tucked up against the underside of the wings like landing gear) to partially reduce the drag they would cause?

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
[QB] Just looking at the seaplane:

Four torpedoes weigh about 4 metric tons.
Fuel to lift this load and fly the distances suggested would be about 12 to 15 metric tons.
Since a defensive armament would be required, say several 20mm and 7.92mm or 13mm guns and ammo, add another 1 or 2 metric tons.
So, we are looking at a flying boat weighing in at about 30 to 40 metric tons (say 60 to 80,000 lbs) loaded.
Some flying boats that fit this profile include:
Consolidated PB2Y-3 Coronado
Boeing B-314 (Pan Am Clipper)
Martin PBM Mariner (two engines and just meeting the spec)
Short Sunderland
Blohm u. Voss Ha 139 (barely makes it and does not carry the specified load)

So, such an aircraft is possible. It would be very costly to build and given the German aircraft industry would require an inordinate amount of production capacity to build badly hurting other programs.
Excellent!
On the German aircraft industry:
The Treaty of Versailles limited the German armed forces in many ways (50,00 man army, 10,000 ton naval units no subs, and no air force) if I remember correctly. Did this mean that the Germans had to build their aircraft industry from scratch? If so, how long did it take them? What about purchasing industry abroad (Japan-Italy-S. America?).

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
On catapults:

The US had Pneumatic, powder, and hydraulic ones in service during the war (they also tested flywheel, jet, steam, and missile launching types as well). The primary ones were:

P Mk IV: A powder driven model used on most battleships through 1942.

P Mk VI: A powder driven model on cruisers.

H 2 and H 2-1: These are the primary pre-war carrier models. Characteristics were 55' run, 7,000 lbs load, 70 mph final velocity.

H 4 (various models): This is the workhorse for the US during the war. Hydraulically driven. Various models launched in 73 to 150 feet 11,000 to 28,000 lbs at 70 to 90 mph.

H 5: A seaplane and floatplane catapult that replaced the powder models on most ships

H 6: Used on tenders to launch large seaplanes. 60,000 lbs at 120 mph.

The British BXC is typical in 1939 for their carriers:
It is a pneumatic-hydraulic unit using a cable and pulley arrangement (accelerator) capable of 12,000 lbs at 66 mph in 61 ft.
Did anyone build any 300' catapults?

Quote:
Originally posted by T. A. Gardner:
[QB] As for the deadliness of carrier controlled interception I would recommend a persual of Lundstrom's The First Team (2 vols) on US carrier combat through 1943 and naval fighter action over Guadalcanal. Time and again this system (radar and controllers on-board ship) cause phyrric casualties to Japanese strike aircraft right from Coral Sea and on.
I have read up on the battle of the coral sea, the battle of midway, the battle of Guadalcanal, as well as the carrier war in the pacific. 2 things:

1) The battles described are between US carrier aircraft and Japanese land and sea based aircraft, in a theater of war where both sides were expecting to be subject to air attack at any time or place. Consequentially, the constantly kept their crews in a high state of preparedness.

2) These battles all occurred well AFTER pearl harbor (at least 5-6 months later for the first one @ coral sea). The battles between the German seaplanes and Brit carrier aircrews would start 18 months BEFORE pearl harbor. The Brits would have no time to learn from them (and cannot thus be expected to match the performance of US carrier aircrews).

To briefly re-cap, this 'what if' supposes:

1) Someone in Germany coming up with the revolutionary strategy of tonnage war by submarine supported seaplanes way back in 1920.

2) They head to Japan (who isn't barred from subs/aircraft), and develop not just written plans, but working prototypes that they test extensively (In Japanese waters). From these endeavors, Germany gains a clear understanding of the key elements of such a strategy:

A) The Industrial needs to support such a plan (not just building the initial planes). The need to replace combat losses, operational/training losses, breakdowns and crew training.
B) Building, maintaining, and EXPANDING a large force of seaplane torpedo bombers. Including deployment plans/means.
C) The power this plan offers as opposed to the sub only plan. The trade off of far less resources needed, far greater gains to be had. Loosing planes (not subs), for mass allied shipping.

3) They present to Hitler a bold new type of sea war, that allows for amazing gains in shockingly short times. This plan (properly supported), is the only naval plan I have ever heard of that would allow the Germans to dominate the N. Atlantic, and thus be able to win the war against Briton before America can enter the war.

Good reading, and again, Happy Holidays and have a good one. [img]smile.gif[/img]
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Old December 1st, 2006, 10:30 PM
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Some additional ideas from the last few days:

As an after thought, and in response to concerns raised about the resource drain for a seaplane torpedo bomber fleet upon the German's aircraft industrial capacity, what about this?

Given that the Germans have just so much aircraft building potential, the founders of the 'Sea-Blitz' strategy focus their efforts to make as many of their aircraft have duel capabilities, IE; being able to operate in both land or sea based combat roles.

This so as to make maximum use of limited capacity. Here are some ideas.

How hard would it be to design (and build) aircraft to have the ability to be 'customized' for different tasks?

For instance, the seaplanes: build the plane with the idea of swapping it's land based landing gear for (sea based) pontoons? Thus allowing for your plane to serve in either theater.

Placing jettison-able fuel tanks in the bomb-bay instead of bombs? Thus allowing the bomber to do double duty as the extended range scouts. And giving the scouts an incendiary bombing capacity?

Building a retractable turret (Armed with multiple 20MM cannons) that can be fitted into the bomb bay instead of bombs, thus allowing for the standard bomber to be easily fitted for AA fire suppressant variants.

For ferrying fighters out to the combat area, designing the bomber with the attachment places built in, so that any given bomber could do this task.

This would allow aircraft to be easily re-configured for duty either at sea or on land. This would allow for fast & easy conversion of your bomber force for any of the 4 roles within the plan.

Any thoughts?
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Old December 1st, 2006, 10:53 PM
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This kind of phantasising to me lacks interest. The real world contained lots and lots of variations on aviation to fill one's heart. Forget about these crazy 'what-if this plane could be so-and-so" and look at real planes! See for instance the very interesting variations on real planes like the He177, Ju290, Fw190, Ju88, Me110 for instance, and when you have explored them all then you'll be free to invent any kind of phantasy land that will suit you. But quite frankly I don't believe that as your hands will be so full with real planes that you won't have any space left for will o'the wisps
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Old December 15th, 2006, 01:31 PM
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Sorry for letting this thread go for so long. There were a number of concerns raised about the feasibility of my theoretical "Sea Blitz", using submarines too support a fleet of seaplane torpedo bombers.

The best ones were:

1) Inability too land on the surface due to weather.
2) Lack of sufficiently powerful engines too take off from the ocean surface (keep in mind that this is much harder than doing the same from land) with a payload of 4 1 ton torpedoes.
3) The drain on the German war effort, particularly the aircraft building programs.

As requested, I've been reading up on allot of the aircraft of the times. In particular, the Dornier Do X, and the Dornier Do 335.

It's kinda interesting that my first post stipulated a 1920 beginning for the R&D, while historically this is the time that the Dornier Do X was actually being developed!

Claude (Claudius) Honoré Desiré Dornier born in Kempten im Allgäu in 1884 and died 1969. He is most famous as a German airplane builder and founder of Dornier GmbH. His legacy remains in the few aircraft named after him, including the Dornier Do 18 and the 12-engine Dornier Do X, flying boat, for decades the world's largest and most powerful airplane.

In the 1920s and 1930s, flying boats made it possible to have regular air transport between the U.S. and Europe. (So much for not being able to land on the surface of the 'stormy' N. Atlantic! )

Opening up new air travel routes to South America, Africa, and Asia. Foynes, Ireland and Botwood, Newfoundland and Labrador were the termini for many early transatlantic flights.

Where land-based aircraft lacked the range to travel great distances and required airfields to land, flying boats could stop at small island, river, lake or coastal stations to refuel and resupply (and this being the case, why not a U-Boat?).

The Pan Am Boeing 314 "Clipper" planes brought exotic destinations like the Far East in reach of air travelers and came to represent the romance of flight. BOAC and Imperial Airways provided flying boat passenger and mail transport links between Britain and South Africa, Australia and New Zealand.

As far as proof of concept, I think that this takes care of weather and reliability and range concerns.

Now for the other concerns:
If Mr Dornier, acting alone (read as: not state supported) was able to design (starting in 1920) and build a seaplane capable of carrying 150+ people on its maiden voyage by 1929, I feel confident that Germany and Japan (working together in secret) could have not only matched but exceeded this development. This means that well before 1929, the Germans would have themselves a seaplane capable of carrying the required weight (150+ people plus luggage etc = 150 @ apx 200lbs ea, so 30,000 lbs or 15 1 ton torpedoes. This is making an un-assisted takeoff! (My plan called for the seaplane to be catapult launched from the deck of the submarine).


On the matter of German aircraft production. This is a tough one! Can the Germans divert resources to the "Sea-Blitz" aircraft and still make all the progress they historically did up too mid summer 1940?

Lets take a look at some of their choices. Build far fewer land based aircraft, and have the seaplanes try to fill-in. Build the seaplanes as duel-purpose aricraft as much as possible, to lessen the impact of their construction. Build more aircraft factories in favor of the submarine factories. IE, either build less land based air and weaken your airforce, or build fewer submarines and use this additional industrial capacity to build alot more aircraft!

Something I feel needs to be stressed: The various design faults/performance issues with German aircraft and submarines stem in no small part from the treaty of Versailles. This treaty forbid the construction of aircraft and submarines to Germany from WWI on. This meant that the Germans had no modern experience (to speak of) with either till just before WWII! The first WWII U-boats were built in the mid 1930's.

Had my 'what if' occurred, the Germans would have had U-boats and aircraft at least 10 years earlier! This time would have allowed for testing and working out the 'bugs'. It also would give them 10 years to make improved models! This alone would have made a big difference! Picture all the problems that the Germans had, and then Imagine 10 years to fix and improve things befor the war!

When I look at all the 'what if' threads that fail because of poor aircraft and submarine capabilities, and all the 'weapons in WWII' that have the same things....

Makes me wonder.
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Old December 17th, 2006, 11:32 AM
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hmm, what is the question exactly?
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Old December 17th, 2006, 11:57 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Za Rodinu:
hmm, what is the question exactly?
There is a question and also request for others thoughts.

Question is two parts:How were the UK, US, & USSR aircraft industries superior to the German aircraft industries? Not interested in material/rare resource availabilities, nor effects of enemy attacks. Looking for most basic faults within the German's AI, and the things the Allies were better at?

Second part of the question, of all the reasons given (from this post on) how many were really contributed too by the treaty of Versailles?
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Old July 7th, 2009, 12:34 AM
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Default Re: German Tonnage War Strategy

I think there are many more problems involved then the sea planes finding the submarines. Consider first the problems the Milch Cow program encountered in mating with submarine on patrol. Next, consider why did not the allies use a variation of this said scheme with an underway tender and the Catalina flying boat.

As I see it, the following needs to addressed:
1. Aircraft maintenance
2. Fast changing sea states
3. Navigation from sub/barge to sub/Barge
4. Roaming Destroyers and Cruisers
5. Maintain crew morale on long patrols
6. a more efficient enigma for use on planes
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Old July 7th, 2009, 12:44 PM
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Default Re: German Tonnage War Strategy

I take it the starter of this thread is unaware that the early German airborne torpedo was so poor the only aircraft capable of flying slowly enough to drop it, without it breaking up on hitting the water, was the He 59, a very large and slow float biplane. It wasn't until May 1940 that the Germans were able to modify the torpedo enough for the He 115 to drop it, though the failure rate was still high.
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Old July 7th, 2009, 05:14 PM
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Default Re: German Tonnage War Strategy

It's interesting to see this thread revived. It sounds like innovative thinking, but there are so many practical problems that it could never be implemented. Germany did send a technical delegation to Japan in the early 1930's, but they were looking at aircraft carrier design and the collaboration produced the Graf Zeppelin design, a notable failure. The Japanese were not that advanced in aviation technology in the mid-1920's, and, in submersibles, were still exploring WW I German U-boat design at the time, so there isn't much advantage to be gained for the Germans to engage Japanese technology at this time.

I see some real problems with operating large seaplanes from submersible "tenders", not the least of which is weather in the North Atlantic. No matter what Shadowmaster may believe about German civilian seaplanes proving it was possible to routinely land and take off from the open sea (civilian airliners didn't land in the open sea), experience in WW II showed that each landing and take-off was fraught with danger. For months at a time, the North Atlantic is a hostile place even for large, well-found ships; operating sea planes from the surface of the open sea is literally out of the question. The second problem is precise overwater navigation; it didn't exist in WW II, yet it would be necessary for the kind of operations envsaged by Shadowmaster. Read Clay Blair's "Hitler's U-boat War"; it's clear that sea planes operating over long distances over the Atlantic seldom knew where they were, or where freindly U-boats or hostile convoys were located. Numerous times sea planes sighted Allied convoys, but time and time again were unable to guide U-boats to them. A lot of sea planes would be lost simply because they couldn't find their own tenders. After an attack, damaged seaplanes could not land on the water because, with their hulls damaged, they would sink before they could be repaired. A little thought, combined with some practical knowledge of what happens at sea would quickly relegate this idea to the world of fantasy.

An American PBY could carry two torpedoes, one under each wing, and could fly about 750 miles with them, but with a full load of fuel and armament, they could only take off after a very long run and on relatively calm water at that. Using a submarine-mounted catapult (not steam, because U-boats didn't have boilers) would be out of the question for two reasons; the first being how do you lift a massive four-engine sea plane, carrying four torpedoes and tons of fuel, onto a catapult which is mounted on a sub rolling heavily with it's decks awash? If you try to use a crane the plane will be swinging about uncontrollably in anything but a dead calm, which is very rare in the North Atlantic.

The second reason is, even if you figure out an answer to that question, it's going to take a very long time to spot and launch even one aircraft, so your strikes will consist of single aircraft attacking one at a time; dead meat for any CAP and ship board AA. American PBY's were used to attack merchant vessels and warships, but were found to be so slow and vulnerable to AA fire, they could only safely make attacks at night, using radar to locate their targets; Germany didn't have ASV radar until early 1942, so it's highly unlikley that they could successfully make attacks on well-armed vessels

Another problem is the size of the U-boat tenders; German U-boats tended to be very small. One of the larger ones, the Type IXC was only 1,150 tons. The largest was the Type X, still only about 1,700 tons, only a little larger than an American Gato-class Fleet boat. The Japanese I-400-class boats were 5,223 tons, and operated three single-engine float-plane bombers. To support even one four-engine sea plane, a submarine woud have to be monstrous, six or seven thousand tons or more. That would make it extremely large, cumbersome, slow to dive, and very vulnerable to ASW measures. Add the towed submersible supply barges, and you have a huge, very costly, and practically defenseless investment that is quickly going to be destroyed.

Another problem is building this fleet of very large U-boats, and the very large sea planes; it's going to be extremely costly and resource intensive. Once it is built, there are many details of equipment, tactics, and doctrine that are going to have to be tested at sea to work out the bugs, and develop operational doctrine. That's not something that can be done without arousing the attention of potential enemies; and Britain and the US will quickly design and develop counter measures, such as escort carriers with modern fighters.

All of this presumes that Germany plans to wage a commerce war against Britain about fifteen years before the outbreak of WW II, and about ten years before Hitler comes to power in Germany. That certainly wasn't the case, and I can imagine no historical changes that would make it likely. Certainly nothing mentioned in the poster's original scnario supports such an idea.
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Old July 7th, 2009, 08:10 PM
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Default Re: German Tonnage War Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by redcoat View Post
I take it the starter of this thread is unaware that the early German airborne torpedo was so poor the only aircraft capable of flying slowly enough to drop it, without it breaking up on hitting the water, was the He 59, a very large and slow float biplane. It wasn't until May 1940 that the Germans were able to modify the torpedo enough for the He 115 to drop it, though the failure rate was still high.
You take it correctly!

I am amazed that this thread has been dug up after so long in the graveyard, lol.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Devilsadvocate View Post
All of this presumes that Germany plans to wage a commerce war against Britain about fifteen years before the outbreak of WW II, and about ten years before Hitler comes to power in Germany. That certainly wasn't the case, and I can imagine no historical changes that would make it likely. Certainly nothing mentioned in the poster's original scenario supports such an idea.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shadow Master View Post
As an avid war gamer/history buff, I would like to see a game designed too allow for 'what ifs' to be included. I would love to see this one played out!

For background, German Industrialists anticipate a new World War. In preparation (circa 1920-1930), a team of aircraft engineers & naval ship designers are sent to japan to lend German perspective & gain Japanese practical experience in these fields [I guess this part wasn't to clear?]

By mid 1930's plans are complete and Germany begins gaining practical experience with these new technologies. [So no, they won't be going into the war without any idea how to use the weapons they have developed, and none of the training need be done in Germany, and thus the treaty of Versailles doesn't even get broken IIRC. Of course, the allies might not see it that way, lol.]
If there is actually any interest in this thread's innovative concept, I suppose that I can reprise the basic idea to include the MAR/DT that we recently discussed, Devilsadvocate.

I still have your last post there in mind, but I have been very short on time to actually make any posts here.

While on that subject, am I the only one having trouble logging in here? Every day I get that danged 'broken link' garbage, is this happening to everyone else or is it just me?

Any way, before I dive into this [or these] topics again, I need to have the time and the ability to draw pictures that I can post here to show concepts.

The earliest that this might happen is my next semester break, between 18th and 28th of Aug.

If anyone is really that interested, you can just PM me with the points that you would like covered in the new thread and I'll do my best.
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Last edited by Shadow Master; July 8th, 2009 at 12:34 AM.
  #25 (permalink)  
Old July 7th, 2009, 08:50 PM
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Default Re: German Tonnage War Strategy

Quote:
Originally Posted by Devilsadvocate View Post
All of this presumes that Germany plans to wage a commerce war against Britain about fifteen years before the outbreak of WW II, and about ten years before Hitler comes to power in Germany. That certainly wasn't the case, and I can imagine no historical changes that would make it likely. Certainly nothing mentioned in the poster's original scnario supports such an idea.
Of all your points I like this one the best, putting all the eggs (or at least a lot of very expensive ones) in one basket by creating a force that will fit one scenario and be useless for almost anything else is not the way a conventional military thinks, that's what "special ops" visionaries do and they won't usually get a big slice of the budget.

Another point is that the availability of bases in France was what made the historical Atlantic campaign possible, without them the Type VII, that formed the core of the U-Boat fleet would not be able to operate far into the Atlantic and the hypotetical sub-carriers would suffer horrible attrition going round the British Isles to resupply.
No pre-wear German planners could count on having bases in France and if you can base them at Bordeaux a Do 19 or a Ju 290 makes a lot more sense than the whole sub-carriers thing. Had the Germans built something better than the awful He 177 an Hs 293 armed long ranged plane would be a threat to any convoy without carrier escort even as late as 1943.
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