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What If? Alternate History: Speculate about WWII battles that never were. Could the Axis have won? What if Hitler had the bomb?

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  #251 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 01:15 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

That "Submit Reply" button giving you fits, fjrosetti?
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  #252 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 02:01 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

It was entirely possible that if the Russians were nuked and Stalin incinerated, that people in that country could have overthrown the remnants of the regime and sued for peace.

I think it's a deja view moment
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Old August 29th, 2007, 02:08 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

LQQK Slava,

Page 11 finally showed up!

We were missing it earlier, after Slava broke it.
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Old August 29th, 2007, 02:26 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Originally Posted by Sloniksp View Post
My definition? or your definition?

Talkin numbers, the Red Army in Europe in 1945 was the largest and most powerful military that man has ever seen. Numbers wise the Allies in Europe of the same year, were MUCH smaller in size.
I wouldn't just use numbers of troops but if that's what you mean by "show of force" ok. Not very relevant to the topic at hand but ok. However it was not by any means the most powerful military that man has ever seen. Powerful has got to contain a number of other items.
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Do I understand this correctly? Are you comparing the supply lines of Vietnam to what they would have been to SU?
No I'm comparing the supply lines the Western allies actually had in WW2 to what they would have needed in the continuation war. Given the extra production and absence of any naval interdiction capability they would probably have been in better shape than they were in 44 and early 45. The Soviets on the other hand would be in worse shape.
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Just out of curiousity, why would Mexico and Brazil ever consider going to war against the SU? Why not add India or South Africa to this group of allies against the SU as well?
They were part of the Western Allies. That's the topic of the thread. Why would the US want to go to war with the Soviets or the Soviets with the US. No case has been made for either of those either. As for India and South Africa the former was a British possesion and the latter part of the British Commonwealth so also fit in the definition of Western Alles and I've been including them in Commonwealth numbers.
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I also believe that I asked this question about China
And I answered it although I've not been including their numbers.
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As for Turkey and Finland, the Soviets would not have to worry about them. Those two countries would never go to war with Russia again. To claim that they would, is to simply be unfamiliar with the history of these countries or be in a stage of denial
That's one interpretation I rather think otherwise. Turkey was more likely than Finland and they probably wouldn't join in until they were sure the Soviets were loosing. On the other hand the Soviets couldn't ignore the possibility of either of these joining so it would absorb troops just watching them.
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Old August 29th, 2007, 03:24 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

On the Soviet Navy:

Whatever the accomplishments of the Red Army might have been, the Soviet Navy lost their war. This branch of the Soviet military was distingusihed by its pathetic record of poor combat operations, high losses, and generally inept performance. The officers and petty officers of the Soviet Navy during this period were generally only adequitely competent at best, this branch not generally receiving the best and brightest the Soviet Union had to offer. The sailors themselves were generally better infantry than sailors as this is how most spent their war.
As to the Pacific Fleet of the Soviet Navy in 1945 it consisted of:

2 Kirov class cruisers (see the cruiser thread here for more info on these)
1 Destroyer leader (Tbilisi)
10 Destroyers various classes typically with 6 to 8 TT and 4 5" guns.
2 older destroyers
77 Submarines mostly the coastal series V, X and XV boats with a few S (Stalinetz) boats thrown in. The later are about equal to a pre-war German Type VII in performance but with much poorer sound equipment.
There were also over 200 various types of PT boat in the Pacific Fleet. The majority were the Soviet built G series with about half dating to prior to the war in age.

A few notes on Soviet naval effectiveness:

Submarines: Best estimates are that the Soviets sank 254,525 tons of shipping including about 108 merchant ships and 28 minor warships or auxiliary vessels. For this they lost at least 108 submarines. None of the ships sunk were in the Pacific and, a number sunk in the Black Sea were neutral Turkish vessels.

In MTB operations the Soviets bested their pathetic submarine performance in spades. While the Soviets fielded over 400 various classes of their own MTBs along with well over 200 lend-lease US Higgins boats, they managed to sink just a handful of minor merchant and military vessels throughout the war, most during or after 1944. Some of the more "significant" sinkings included: The Finnish minelayer Rilahti, 4 German M class minesweepers, and the German torpedo boat T 31. They did get two Japanese auxiliary trawlers in 1945 in the Pacific.
For this miniscule amount of shipping the Soviets lost 174 boats on operations, 57 in combat.
The major surface combat units of the Pacific Fleet pretty much sat the war out in port unused. Thus, in the years just after WW 2, the Soviet Navy in the Pacific (and in general) could pretty much be summed up as a minor and ineffectual force of no military significance and little value.
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  #256 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 03:37 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

One other thing I will add here is that in such a conflict the Soviets would have also been looking at problems in their forward rear areas as well....very serious problems.....

It is quite obvious that at a minimum Poland, Hungary and, Czechslovika would have openly revolted against the Soviets as even in 1945 - 46 they weren't thrilled with the puppet governments installed and the degree of repression they were already getting. Yugoslavia could have stayed neutral and Romania simply laid down and not fought. Certainly, the Germans would also likely have caused problems too.
With a serious, and real, military threat in their rear to suppress they would have had some real problems just as the Germans did in Russia with both open fighting and partisan activity on a mass scale.
It is highly unlikely that the Western Allies would have had any significant rear area problems beyond simple criminal activity to contend with. I doubt that even the Germans would have had cause to go out and start derailing trains and blowing up bridges in the US rear while I am certain the Poles in particular would have had lots of experiance and be doing exactly that in the Soviet rear.
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Old August 29th, 2007, 04:48 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Originally Posted by Slipdigit View Post
That "Submit Reply" button giving you fits, fjrosetti?

Sorry everyone, me and my computer had some issues. We're getting along now. Think I broke page 11 also.
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  #258 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 06:30 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

I also had trouble posting last night, the server must have been working overtime to cope with the flux of new members Otto had promised
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Old August 29th, 2007, 10:41 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Originally Posted by lwd View Post
You can compair potentials. If someone postulates a detailed what if then there may be enough data to postulate whether it's reasonable and/or where it leads.
Indeed, and looking at the state of morale is just as reasonable as looking at military resources.

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Nebulous a takes on b doesn't cut it however.
Which is what this debate is, a very unspecific 'could a take on b,' now however much data you may pull up on military potential there are other factors which would probably prove pivotal. Unless you can assess these the argument is likely bunk.

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In this case it looks to me like whoever is the aggressor gets a plus for initial surprise but a minus for moral unless the war goes very well very quickly which I don't see happening for either side. There are also tremendous time variables unframed: does this hypothetical conflict start while the war is still going on? Right after VE day? Sometime in the summer of 45? or the fall? or winter? or 46? ....
The eternal problem with counterfactuals eh?

Quote:
You forgot to add before dominating the world to the last sentance. At least this was the stated goal. Whether or not people believed it was possible or what time frame they believed it was possible in are other questions.
Nope, world domination is not a tennant of communism, the spreading of an ideal is but world domination is not.

Quote:
It's not that the variable is written off it's that it is undefined. You can as I stated talk military potential without it. Actually putting together a coherent what if would require defining a lot more interrelated variables that could potentially have a radical effect on the outcome.
But without it any statement on military potential is meaningless, just as to talk about the physical state of two boxers is pretty irrelevant without consideration of whether they actually want to win a fight.

Quote:
The US already had supply lines that spanned the globe where are they going to find these "near impossible distances". The USSR would likely have had more problems with its supply lines due at least in part to allied strategic air but also limited logistic vehicles and routes.
The same place the Germans did, as well as through the (even today untamed) expances of Eastern Russia.

Quote:
The US army was in the Pacific also Even tank armies aren't going to fair well if they are in range of US naval gunfire. Again what happens depends on when the scenario starts. My impression is prior to June of 44 the Soviet presence in the far east was rather small. Even afterwards it wasn't huge. If the Soviets try to defend the far east they have to tie up a lot of troops as the US can land in numerous locations or move through China. In some cases and times they might have to go through the Japanese or the Chinese communist but that's doable.
Slon covered most of this, however the assumption of an easy romp through China is flawed and the idea of using naval firepower in an area the size of which we are considering is difficult at best.
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Old August 29th, 2007, 11:26 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Originally Posted by Stefan View Post
Indeed, and looking at the state of morale is just as reasonable as looking at military resources.
But moral without context is meaningless. Military potential such as size, resources, etc doesn't need the political context to be meaningful.
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... now however much data you may pull up on military potential there are other factors which would probably prove pivotal. Unless you can assess these the argument is likely bunk.
Could prove important yes, likely to no. Neither side is likely to start a war in a way that will destroy their moral. As it is the West has so many advantages in so many areas that it is unlikely to effect who wins although it would likely effect how fast.
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Nope, world domination is not a tennant of communism, the spreading of an ideal is but world domination is not.
A rose by another name. If Communism is spread world wide then it is dominating the world.
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But without it any statement on military potential is meaningless, just as to talk about the physical state of two boxers is pretty irrelevant without consideration of whether they actually want to win a fight.
No it's not meaningless. In particular if one is significantly better then you can say that the weaker fighter is going to have to be a lot more motivated to win. That is in essence my position and I don't see anything outside a colossal blunder on the part of the West that would produce the moral/motivational difference that would allow a Soviet victory.
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...however the assumption of an easy romp through China is flawed and the idea of using naval firepower in an area the size of which we are considering is difficult at best.
Who said easy? Note that the Soviets don't have anything like an ideal logistics/mobility net in this area either.
At no point did I mean to imply that naval gunfire was to used throughout the entire area. It is very useful on in coastal areas however.
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  #261 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 11:58 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Originally Posted by lwd View Post
But moral without context is meaningless. Military potential such as size, resources, etc doesn't need the political context to be meaningful.
Military potential without the will to use it is also meaningless.

Quote:
Could prove important yes, likely to no. Neither side is likely to start a war in a way that will destroy their moral. As it is the West has so many advantages in so many areas that it is unlikely to effect who wins although it would likely effect how fast.
In which case neither side is likely to start a war.

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A rose by another name. If Communism is spread world wide then it is dominating the world.
True but what you said was that the Soviet Union wanted to dominate the world, this is simply not the case. As we just said, the form of communism that survived in the USSR as not internationalist and so did not demand world domination or even the spreading of ideology, simply securing the USSR as it was, not takingthe ideal beyond it's boarders.

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No it's not meaningless. In particular if one is significantly better then you can say that the weaker fighter is going to have to be a lot more motivated to win. That is in essence my position and I don't see anything outside a colossal blunder on the part of the West that would produce the moral/motivational difference that would allow a Soviet victory.
A colossaul blunder like siding ith the Nazis?

Quote:
Who said easy? Note that the Soviets don't have anything like an ideal logistics/mobility net in this area either.
At no point did I mean to imply that naval gunfire was to used throughout the entire area. It is very useful on in coastal areas however.
An advantage that could easily be negated.
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  #262 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 01:50 PM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

Gentlemen, it seems that we are now traveling in circles and as a result this is becoming a tad boring. Not only are we countering opinions with opinions ( which is understandable this is afterall a "what-if" thread) however some scenerio's are simply becoming so outrageous that it is becoming difficult to counter them without crossing over the same path.

So without further a do, I say farewell and retire from this thread


All the best....
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  #263 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 01:58 PM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Wot, this one Bwana!

The last time I saw somebody being called that was Anthony Quinn in a BW film



Did you know that Adam was a Portagee?
Who else would stand beside a naked woman in the garden of Eden and eat an apple?

More in the Free Fire Zone

That's it Za. Beat on it some more!
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  #264 (permalink)  
Old August 29th, 2007, 03:15 PM
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No problem. Here goes.
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Old August 29th, 2007, 04:37 PM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

Can I borrow one of those sticks please?
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Old August 30th, 2007, 02:38 AM
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Default Re: Nazi's & Western Allies Combine Forces Against Russia

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Provide any data to support this please.


You speak as though the US wanted this role. First we are ridiculed for being isolationist (following 160 years example of this) and when we fill a void, created by a weakened Europe, now we are ridiculed for being too involved in world affairs.


In what ways? Undefended borders to the north and south. Directly responsible for changing the ruling habits of several large totalitarian governments and not conquering them to do it? Everybody eating hamburgers and wearing blue jeans? I'll guess that Mr. Joe Average American doesn't want to go overseas and see the US recreated, no more than I want to travel 250 miles and see my hometown all over again


Tell us how you really feel about the United States of America, you're sugar-coating your thoughts too much.
How about your current defense bill of somwhere in the figure of at least two trillion dollars, you have just concluded a contract with Israel 30 billion, Egypt 20 billion, Suadi Arabia 40 billion and Jordan (Figure not quoted). Oh and before i forget the computer company IBM made millions when it sold data technology to the Nazis to track Jews.

They relished the role, even sacrificed the Pearl Harbour Fleet to get into WWII, it was the only way of circumventing the "Isolationist Neutrality Act" and has meddled in world politics since.
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