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What If? Alternate History: Speculate about WWII battles that never were. Could the Axis have won? What if Hitler had the bomb?

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Old March 27th, 2008, 04:58 AM
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Default strategic impact of special warfare

i went through the forum rules and, unfortunately, i couldn't come up with a specific 'what if.' what i think is that none of the spec-war exploits i read about seemed to have any real strategic value for the proponents, nor have the successful operations appear to have cost the opposite side that much.

well, we could argue that special ops, like the 'cockleshell' attack on german ships in bordeaux, to the assasination of heidrich, may have been of strategic importance. but what i'd like is invite are 'what-if' questions about specwar that might have had a significant, if not pivotal influence on the war.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 06:02 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

Well, what kind of spec-ops are you referring to? Intelligence gathering? Disinformation? Raids? Disruption of enemy slocs?
In my view, the coast watchers in the Pacific is a form of a spec-ops unit, primarily tasked with intelligence gathering. There mission was in today's terms, evade and report.
Another is disinformation, such as the well-documented ops to convince the Germans that the Allied landing wouldn't be in Normandy.
For disruption of SLOCs, the British had their LRRPs in North Africa.
Other spec-ops would be the insertion and recovery of personnel.
The activities of the US Navy's frogmen could also qualify as spec-op.
Would airborne operations qualify as spec-op? Looking at it in the context of World War II, it is but today, I think airborne is now considered as conventional.
Given your fresh idea, let's start with the coast watchers.
What if the coast watchers were absent when the Guadalcanal campaign began? Would the US have managed to hold on to the island without the coast watchers? I hope this jives with what you have in mind.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 10:28 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

basically those you mentioned although i'm not so keen on including intelligence gathering, disinformation, psy-germ-chemical warfare. dedicated airborne forces would be considered, rather than simply air-delivered.

well, coast watchers, though endorsed by the military, was largely a civilian effort. but since you asked, it feel their usefulness would be limited to intelligence gathering before regular hostilities begin. it wan an informal data gathering system, designed to expand the military's own network. in a steady shooting war, you will have to rely in your regular military recon and intelligence gathering.

keeping to my original course, halsey said coast watchers saved guadalcanal and guadalcanal saved the south pacific. i say wrong in both points. the initial success of operation watchtower was in achieving complete surprise in both the first-day landings themselves and the destruction of the japanese flying boat flotilla. there followed a naval war of attrition that drained japanese human and hard resources. strategically, it diverted japanese attention from new guinea and indonesia but even of guadalcanal didn't happen, the japanese would have reached the end of their line in the other places mentioned, much the same way as the solomons.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 10:37 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

Do elements of the Army such as the SAS or commando typr formations fall into this catogeory mac?
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Old March 27th, 2008, 10:46 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

yes of course.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 10:53 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

Well in that case I would say that the SAS and LRDG in North Africa did an excellent job at shortening the war and without them the Germans would have been harder to defeat in the desert. As well as the commando raids along Fortress Europe and even the dropping of allied officers to organise guriella forces behind the lines. They were in my eyes invaluable.

Ok so what if the LRDG and the SAS in North Africa were never formed or not fully formed to any real means, could the Germans have won?
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Old March 27th, 2008, 11:03 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

the SAS weren't named that during the war, right? attacking behind the lines at supply lines and other vulnerable targets can be done by both 'special' and regular forces. spec-war is supposed to be cheaper(??) and lead to fewer losses in men and material. at this point, i just don't know what might prompt a commander to choose between the two. but the objectives and payoffs are supposed to be the same. i could be wrong in that though.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 12:14 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

The SAS was formed in 1941 as L detachment SAS Brigade (until then the SAS had been a sort of mythical unit to confuse the bosch a bit.
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Old March 27th, 2008, 12:30 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

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Originally Posted by mac_bolan00 View Post
keeping to my original course, halsey said coast watchers saved guadalcanal and guadalcanal saved the south pacific. i say wrong in both points. the initial success of operation watchtower was in achieving complete surprise in both the first-day landings themselves and the destruction of the japanese flying boat flotilla. there followed a naval war of attrition that drained japanese human and hard resources. strategically, it diverted japanese attention from new guinea and indonesia but even of guadalcanal didn't happen, the japanese would have reached the end of their line in the other places mentioned, much the same way as the solomons.
Okay, I get your drift. However, I have to respectfully disagree with how you view the Coast Watcher's role.
They acted as eyes and ears in areas that wouldn't be readily accessible to regular recon or intel units. Their reports, even if these reports are negative sightings of the enemy, are valuable. Negative sightings tell the commander where the enemy are not.
Also they were instrumental in saving a number of Guadalcanal pilots, which were in pretty much short supply. Vandegrift's book point out that this was due to fatigue and disease. For me, the coastwatchers acted as the pesky irritating ant crawling on the Japanese forces' skin and keeping them distracted. It may be small but its bite still leaves a tell tale welt.

Anyway, I'll think about other spec-ops more appropriate to your suggestion, which I say again, is a good one.
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Old March 28th, 2008, 06:51 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

The US army had the Rangers. They landed at Point-du-hoc during D-Day. If they hadn't, who knows. Just throwing that out there.
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Old March 28th, 2008, 10:38 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

I read a novel called the 'The Eagle has landed'. It is about a squad of German paratroopers sent to Britain to capture Winston Churchill, now the book is based on fact although I doubt the Germans ever actually got to the point of sending them in, more on paper then anything I say, anyway in the book the mission did fail, but what if that special operation had succeded?
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Old March 29th, 2008, 06:13 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

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Originally Posted by tomcat View Post
I read a novel called the 'The Eagle has landed'. It is about a squad of German paratroopers sent to Britain to capture Winston Churchill, now the book is based on fact although I doubt the Germans ever actually got to the point of sending them in, more on paper then anything I say, anyway in the book the mission did fail, but what if that special operation had succeded?
Nice movie with Michael Caine too .

The Eagle Has Landed (1976)
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Old March 29th, 2008, 06:14 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

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Originally Posted by JCFalkenbergIII View Post
Nice movie with Michael Caine too .

The Eagle Has Landed (1976)
It is a movie? I didn't know that, I will have to keep an eye out for that one, thankyou.
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Old March 29th, 2008, 06:19 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

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Originally Posted by tomcat View Post
It is a movie? I didn't know that, I will have to keep an eye out for that one, thankyou.
Yup. I have it on DVD .
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Old March 29th, 2008, 06:22 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

I like Micheal Caine, he fits in well in the WW2 setting. Who does he play in the movie, I am assuming one of the British citizens around the town?
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Old March 29th, 2008, 07:28 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

I remember buying the novel at Heathrow aitrport years ago. It was pure random and I made a good choice that day. Didn't see the DVD though. If it's good I may give it a try.
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Old March 29th, 2008, 07:33 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

No. he plays Oberst Steiner the German parachute unit commander.

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Old March 29th, 2008, 10:08 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

He plays Steiner, I cant see that, now I will have to find it and watch it.
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Old April 1st, 2008, 11:12 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

That movie is good. It had solid characters and a plausible plot. It's a must have in any WWII movie collection.
Thinking about this more. . . since this involves what-ifs.. . what if Germany had coupled a solid special operation on selected British air strips or radar sites during the Battle of Britain? Small groups of trained German commandos with specific missions could be inserted into remote areas of England via subs. I concede that it would be difficult for these commandos to make their way to their targets but it is not impossible. As for getting out, they make their way back to a sub pick up point in another remote location.

Another thing, this spec-op is compartmentalized from the inept German intel gathering op to increase the commando team's chances.
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Old April 1st, 2008, 02:14 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

Joachim Rønneberg and his lads smashed Norsk Hydro's capabilities to produce heavy water. That had strategic importance.
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Old April 1st, 2008, 03:10 PM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

Though I was never officially told if or when I could mention any activities outside of our official areas of operation, we did operate in countries other than the obvious.

I know for a fact that the one instance where our mundane intel gathering from counting all the crap we encountered along the trails was incorporated into a major op.

Let's put it this way. You know somebody had to give command the locations of caches of food and weapons and such before the bombers went into Cambodia, right?
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Old April 2nd, 2008, 04:12 AM
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Default Re: strategic impact of special warfare

got your point on that one. intelligence is a requisite for precision bombing of unmarked targets. for th