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What If? Alternate History: Speculate about WWII battles that never were. Could the Axis have won? What if Hitler had the bomb?

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  #26 (permalink)  
Old May 13th, 2008, 06:06 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

germany would have won the war
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old May 13th, 2008, 07:50 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

I thought Venezuela would win the war. For exactly the same reasons you give above.
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Old May 14th, 2008, 02:36 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

I think it safe to say that if there was no Barbarossa, then Germany would have continued to enjoy all of the fruits that it was receiving from the Soviet Union.
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Old May 14th, 2008, 08:23 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Sloniksp View Post
I think it safe to say that if there was no Barbarossa, then Germany would have continued to enjoy all of the fruits that it was receiving from the Soviet Union.
Yes, but for how long? This would really depend on Stalin's patience. I have no doubt that while Hitler and Stalin refrain from taking overt action, the two would be sharpening their knives to stab each other's backs.
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Old May 27th, 2008, 10:25 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Falcon Jun View Post
Yes, but for how long? This would really depend on Stalin's patience. I have no doubt that while Hitler and Stalin refrain from taking overt action, the two would be sharpening their knives to stab each other's backs.
No argument there friend.
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  #31 (permalink)  
Old May 28th, 2008, 01:40 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

Slava, are you a closet Trotskyist too?
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old May 29th, 2008, 10:44 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by acker View Post

The war would take longer. There would be more deaths. But chance still favors the Allies.
How is this possible? Russia was responsible for the fighting of German units that otherwise would ahve forught the British and Americans in the west after D-Day. The Germans would have far more rescources that they wouldn't have committed to the Russian front. They could use these rescources to thier advantage against the UK and the US if it entered the war. The list goes on and on. There was a chance for HUGE successes if the USSR and Germany went neutral. But that is to say that they didn;t become allies...god forbid.
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old May 30th, 2008, 07:57 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

If the Axis couldn't supply the scarce forces it had in Africa, how can you expect them to supply and "entire Army Group". Never mind the losses, just think of the shipping required and that was simply unavailable.

This 'nostalgia for what wasn't' can be tiresome at times.
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Old May 31st, 2008, 07:21 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Za Rodinu View Post
So all efforts went into appeasing this monster, never giving it the slightest provocation, fulfilling to the last dot and comma the commercial agreements, and allowing all sorts of provocations, such as not defending against overflights of Soviet territory by German planes, etc.

1. Hitler informed Molotov that Finland was Germany's only supplier of a number of very important raw materials, but Molotov argued that Finland was a "threat to the national security of the USSR".

2. Why did Stalin take Bessarabia? He must have known that the Romanian oil fields were essential to the German war effort. I know it was agreed upon in the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, but then we are no longer talking about appeasement anymore, this could only be seem as a preparation for war. Why would Stalin take the step and ask for Bessarabia? Did he know that would threat the only oil supply Germany had?

3. Why did Stalin make a pact with the Yugoslav rebels when the Nazi puppet was overthrown?

All of the above suggest that the USSR was preparing for a war, what would you have done if you were Hitler? The conflict between Germany and Russia may seem inevitable when you read Mein Kempf, but Hitler didn't write anything about having Japan as an ally or fighting a war against Britain, but it happened.
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old May 31st, 2008, 07:38 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

All the mentioned parts of land were negotiated in the Ribbentrop pact. So the USSR was allowed to take them whenever felt the time was right. Hitler agreed to Stalin´s requests in 1939 because he needed the pact in Aug 1939 desperately, and believed everything would change one day back to normal, i.e. Barbarossa plan.

I am not sure why Stalin really made the pact with the Yugoslav´s but the Slav ties are always very close ( if they meant anything to Stalin ever really ).
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Old May 31st, 2008, 11:33 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by cross of iron View Post
1. Hitler informed Molotov ....

2. Why did Stalin take Bessarabia?

3. Why did Stalin make a pact with the Yugoslav rebels when the Nazi puppet was overthrown?

All of the above suggest that the USSR was preparing for a war, what would you have done if you were Hitler? The conflict between Germany and Russia may seem inevitable when you read Mein Kempf, but Hitler didn't write anything about having Japan as an ally or fighting a war against Britain, but it happened.
1. Yes. And?

2. Bessarabia was former Russian Crown territory.

Quote:
Bessarabia is a historical term for the geographic entity in Eastern Europe bounded by the Dniester River on the east and the Prut River on the west. This was the name by which Imperial Russia designated the eastern part of the principality of Moldavia, ceded by the Ottoman Empire (to which Moldavia was a vassal) to Russia in the aftermath of the Russo-Turkish War, 1806-1812. The western part of Moldavia united with Wallachia in 1859 in what would become the Kingdom of Romania. In 1918, slightly before the end of World War I, (during the Russian Civil War) Bessarabia declared its independence from Russia and after three months united with the Kingdom of Romania.
3. Sorry, fill me in with details as I can't remember the issue right now.

I fail to reach your conclusion. As said before, the USSR felt the border was too close for confort to the country's second largest city so negotiations were seeked with the Finnish government. These negotiations failed (details unnecessary now) and Winter War ensued. Bessarabia was separatist national territory, what would you say if, for instance, California declared independence and joined Mexico, or Northern Irlend seceded and joined the Republic?
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old June 3rd, 2008, 03:47 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by von Rundstedt View Post
Za Rodinu

On your last statement, pure Soviet propaganda, Supreme Soviet Joseph Stalin was just as big of a war monger as Fuhrer Adolf Hitler, Finland was a soft target, Stalin never forgave Finland from breaking away from Mother Russia, and neither did he forgive the Baltic, Byelorrusian and Ukrainian territories for doing the same, unlike the Baltic, Byelorusssia and Ukraine States. Finland fought back, told Stalin to shove his demands up where the sun don't shine, it had nothing to do with securing Leningrad. It mattered not if Germany declared war on the Soviets, the Soviets wanted Western Europe and given time it would have invaded Western Europe and have Communist states as far west as Ireland and Potugal and enslaved hundreds of millions and murdered tens of millions.

v.R
Von,
All of the information available on the matter would contradict such an observation. Stalin did not want to conquer Finland but only as Za correctly pointed out, to create a buffer zone for Russia's second largest city ( A legitimate reason as wars have been fought for less ). If Stalin wanted Finland, then he could have very well taken the opportunity of exacting revenge on the Fins as retribution for supporting Hitler and breaking the Moscow peace treaty but he did not. Instead, Stalin just took back the territories agreed upon after the Winter War between Finland and Soviet Union.

As for the Soviet Union taking over Western Europe, well that my friend has nor will ever be proven as there are no facts supporting it. I am afraid this is more of a myth created in the West.
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old June 3rd, 2008, 06:02 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Falcon Jun View Post
Good point in airing that view, Za. I think that was a very logical thing to do for Stalin: letting the other countries to pound each other to bits allowing the Soviet Union later to pick up the pieces in an easier manner.

And that explains why Stalin was so ticked off when, from his perspective, the western Allies let the Soviets and Nazi's pound it each other to bits for three long years, and then stepped in, in June, 1944, to pick up the pieces. His own strategy apparently used against him, LOL!
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 06:32 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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I would expect that after achieving this the Axis would somehow make a major push into the Middle East and with an additional Army Group being landed in The Levant two major thrusts being launched into the Middle East. Axis gains the control of the Oil supplies of the Middle East, Britain is starved of vital oil supplies, Germany and Italy begin to establish Naval bases in the Indian Ocean eventually cutting all supply convoys from the east via the cape.
If nothing else would have provoked the Soviets into attacking Hitler's Germany, this would have. The last thing Stalin wanted was to have German forces on the Soviet Union's southern flank, and Stalin would have reacted immediately to any such threat.

In any case, as another poster has pointed out, given the terrain in the Middle East, Germany didn't have the logistical capability to supply such forces overland (nobody did, except perhaps the United States), and the British Navy certainly would have put paid to any attempt to supply them by sea. Germany wasn't going to end up in control of the Middle East no matter what else happened; there were just too many powerful countries that would have violently opposed such a development. Even Axis ally Japan would have been very nervous about an event of that nature

As for Hitler "refusing to declare war on the US" after Pearl Harbor, that's pretty much a moot point because, one way or another, the US at war with one Axis partner will eventually go to war with the entire crowd, especially if the survival of Britain is at stake. the US already had a "Germany First" strategy before the Japanese attack on PH.
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 08:42 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by von Rundstedt View Post
Za Rodinu

On your last statement, pure Soviet propaganda, Supreme Soviet Joseph Stalin was just as big of a war monger as Fuhrer Adolf Hitler, Finland was a soft target, Stalin never forgave Finland from breaking away from Mother Russia, and neither did he forgive the Baltic, Byelorrusian and Ukrainian territories for doing the same, unlike the Baltic, Byelorusssia and Ukraine States. Finland fought back, told Stalin to shove his demands up where the sun don't shine, it had nothing to do with securing Leningrad. It mattered not if Germany declared war on the Soviets, the Soviets wanted Western Europe and given time it would have invaded Western Europe and have Communist states as far west as Ireland and Potugal and enslaved hundreds of millions and murdered tens of millions.
Oh, thank you for the pleasantries! This is not propaganda, this was the way how the problem was seen from the "other" point of view, but if you like to sound insulting, please go ahead and see me worry about that. On breakaways, I never saw any leader taking a kind view of nations breaking away from the mother country but you never know.

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Originally Posted by Devilsadvocate View Post
And that explains why Stalin was so ticked off when, from his perspective, the western Allies let the Soviets and Nazi's pound it each other to bits for three long years, and then stepped in, in June, 1944, to pick up the pieces. His own strategy apparently used against him, LOL!
I had never looked at things this way. It may be somewhat distorted but anyway it's a good idea
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 05:39 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Devilsadvocate
And that explains why Stalin was so ticked off when, from his perspective, the western Allies let the Soviets and Nazi's pound it each other to bits for three long years, and then stepped in, in June, 1944, to pick up the pieces. His own strategy apparently used against him, LOL!
Quote:
I had never looked at things this way. It may be somewhat distorted but anyway it's a good idea
Take a look at the various Allied conferences held between 1942 and mid-1944. Stalin kept pushing for an invasion of Europe by the western allies to open up a "second front" against the Germans and take the pressure off his forces. The US wanted to launch one as quickly as possible, but the Brits kept dragging their feet, claiming the troops needed more training and that there simply wasn't enough logistical shipping to adequately support a major invasion. Stalin distrusted these claims and felt the British and Americans simply wanted to weaken the Soviet Union by letting it do most of the fighting against the Nazis. Whether this was true or not is debatable, but that's what Stalin suspected and, as it turned out, that's pretty much what happened. On the other hand, it meant that, post war, the Soviet Union was able to claim most of Eastern Europe as buffer states.
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Old June 6th, 2008, 06:52 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

numerous books i have read all point to an eventual invasion of Russia upon Germany...whether this is a fact or not, i have never read this as a soviet plan....what i do know, is communism was ripe, and did plan for expansion....they favoured taking control or gaining territory what could be called diplomatically or with little military action i.e.Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, Poland handed to them via Germany...whether an invasion of Germany was in the plans, maybe someone could help with this,,,,but if it was...what better time then waiting for A nation to blunder/weaken/lack defense after just facing a lenghty and costly war...hen armies have been ripped apart, ships sunk, and air-force shot to pieces...
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Old July 4th, 2008, 09:18 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Za Rodinu View Post
If the Axis couldn't supply the scarce forces it had in Africa, how can you expect them to supply and "entire Army Group". Never mind the losses, just think of the shipping required and that was simply unavailable.

This 'nostalgia for what wasn't' can be tiresome at times.
Actually, if Germany had not invaded the Soviet Union they could have turned almost their entire Luftwaffe against the western powers, both over England as well as in the African theatre. As Taranto, the Bismarck, and the Pacific "naval" battles demonstrated, air power can easily defeat a naval power that doesn't have air superiority. You are right that the Axis powers didn't have enough transport capability to support their forces in Africa but this is because the Axis was losing a lot of those ships to Allied air and naval power that was superior to their own. With a few air fleets in southern Italy and North Africa the British navy could have been neutralized. And then, even with their smaller number of transports, the Axis could have supplied and augmented their forces in Africa. It is difficult to predict the future in these "what if"s but in this case I think the Axis would have stood a very good chance of taking over at least Egypt.

And, as already pointed, with Egypt comes the severing of the Suez canal for the Allies and this would pressure not only Vichy France to become an active ally of Germany, but also Spain would feel the pressure as well. Allied oil in the Middle East would now be under threat and the Mediterranean would become impossible for Allied naval elements to function in effectively, in the same way that it became unsafe to Italian ships after the actual Allied victory. How much further Germany and Italy could have gone is unclear to me but with the African theatre essentially shut down, Britain's stance as the lone opponent of Germany in Italy would have certainly become a lot more precarious.
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Old July 4th, 2008, 09:30 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Devilsadvocate View Post
If nothing else would have provoked the Soviets into attacking Hitler's Germany, this would have. The last thing Stalin wanted was to have German forces on the Soviet Union's southern flank, and Stalin would have reacted immediately to any such threat.
I think such a preemptive attack by the Soviet Union on Germany would have been disastrous in the extreme for Stalin and the Soviets. Remember that the Red Army didn't become this conquering collosus until after a whole series of crushing tactical defeats in 1941 and 1942. The Red Army reformed itself because of these defeats. So, while the Red Army would have been a monstrously large force when Stalin would attack in this scenario, it wouldn't be that effective and I doubt it would have gotten very far before the Germans could transfer their troops to the new, Eastern Front. And now, in this scenario, Europe really would be united in a crusade against the Bolshevik hordes that now most Europeans would see as their common enemy. Conversely, the spirited nationalism that supported the Russians through the war would be far more difficult to inspire, given that the war was clearly started by the Soviets. In addition, the anti-Hitler movement among the military in Germany (and among the civilian population as well) would lose most of their basis, since Hitler's prophetic visions of a future war against the vile Bolsheviks would have been confirmed. The claim that the warmongering Hitler was leading them all to destruction wouldn't ring as true.

Now, the Red Army, even though far less effective than it was later on in the real war, would have still mauled the Germans badly and it still would have been a difficult war. But I think there would have been more of a chance that someone would take out Stalin, in the same way that Hitler was targeted by his own generals in 1944. Naturally, the course of the war would be affected by exactly when this hypothetical attack by Stalin on Germany would have occurred, and to what extent the Americans were involved with the British and other Allies, so I hesitate to say who would have ultimately won the war. However, I can say that if it ended up being a very long war of attrition, the Germans would certainly still lose the war. However, if the Germans could have finished off the Russians in one or two years, this would have certainly disheartened the Allies and if they didn't already possess the atomic bomb I could see WWII ending with a "cold war" of sorts between the Germans and the Americans.

In any case, as another poster has pointed out, given the terrain in the Middle East, Germany didn't have the logistical capability to supply such forces overland (nobody did, except perhaps the United States), and the British Navy certainly would have put paid to any attempt to supply them by sea. Germany wasn't going to end up in control of the Middle East no matter what else happened; there were just too many powerful countries that would have violently opposed such a development. Even Axis ally Japan would have been very nervous about an event of that nature

As for Hitler "refusing to declare war on the US" after Pearl Harbor, that's pretty much a moot point because, one way or another, the US at war with one Axis partner will eventually go to war with the entire crowd, especially if the survival of Britain is at stake. the US already had a "Germany First" strategy before the Japanese attack on PH.[/QUOTE]
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  #45 (permalink)  
Old July 5th, 2008, 10:31 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by von Rundstedt View Post
Sloniksp

Was it not that the Soviet Union after been rebuffed by an independant sovereign Finland over territorial demands finally invaded and it was during this invasion that the League of Nations finally booted the Soviet Union out of the League of Nations for it's unprovoked invasion of Finland.

Also how many of those Finish POW's in Soviet hands returned to Finland, not many. Stalin dealt with breakaway territoried harshly, out of the 50,000 sevice troops in the Baltic States that were rounded up, only a handful came out of the war alive, we are talking about a monster that under his reign of terror murdered around 25 million of his own citizens.

I do believe that come hell or high water Stalin would eventually invade Western Europe after the Western Powers beat the you know what out of each other.

v.R
Yes, Stalin took the land which Finland did not want to trade as he felt it was a matter of national security. Yes, Stalin was a bad man...... And yes Stalin wanted to spread communism to all of Europe after the Western Powers tore each other to pieces.

Whats your point?
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Old July 13th, 2008, 12:51 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

They won world war 2! In USSR enter 10 millions fashists veterans (traitors from another countries, germans and other fashists)! If they dont attacked USSR all armies of fashists go to conquer EUROPE and I think nobody can stop this army, because they were veterans who conquer many countries in EAST EUROPE.
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Old July 14th, 2008, 08:03 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

[quote=kingthreehead;286893]Do you think The United States And Britian would Still Win or Would the Axis Win? Even if one of the sides won how long would the Second World War last?

probably the axis. the axis would have a better quality of weapons & vehicles plus they would have the numercial advantage. but as a soviet officer once said the soviets where on the verge of attacking the third reich but barbossa caught them completly off-guard so even if the germans didnt attack the ussr than maybe the soviets would invade germany.
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Old July 14th, 2008, 10:19 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

Quote:
Originally Posted by panzer paul View Post
probably the axis. the axis would have a better quality of weapons & vehicles plus they would have the numercial advantage. but as a soviet officer once said the soviets where on the verge of attacking the third reich but barbossa caught them completly off-guard so even if the germans didnt attack the ussr than maybe the soviets would invade germany.
I suggest you peruse this board a pit Pzr Paul. The consensus generally is that the Germans had an inferiority in many areas of technology and even where they had an advantage it was generally equalled or eclipsed quickly once it became necessary by the Allies to do so. Do feel free to enumerate where you think the Germans had "better quality of weapons & vehicles" and where they had a "numerical advantage."

As for the Soviet Union attacking Germany, this has been brought up too. Generally, the opinion is that there is insufficent evidence to make a conviencing case for the Soviets attacking Germany.
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Old July 20th, 2008, 05:23 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

German forces were way outnumberd and the Germans had the best weapons and trained men at the start of ww2 but were very outnumberd so i think if the Germans did not declare war on the soviets then they could have a high chance of wining the war.
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Old July 25th, 2008, 04:07 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

the axis would have the advantage of numbers and supplies, BUT if that happened, than the america and europe would hve the advantage of surprise, eanwhile they would get bombing squads to fly over the USSR, much like they did with Germany. But if Russia joined the Axis, tht would of course had to launch a whole new campign against Russia, and with the intense conditions, i dont think they could have handled it. :P Axis would have won.
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