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What If? Alternate History: Speculate about WWII battles that never were. Could the Axis have won? What if Hitler had the bomb?

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  #26 (permalink)  
Old May 13th, 2008, 05:06 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

germany would have won the war
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old May 13th, 2008, 06:50 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

I thought Venezuela would win the war. For exactly the same reasons you give above.
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Old May 14th, 2008, 01:36 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

I think it safe to say that if there was no Barbarossa, then Germany would have continued to enjoy all of the fruits that it was receiving from the Soviet Union.
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Old May 14th, 2008, 07:23 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Sloniksp View Post
I think it safe to say that if there was no Barbarossa, then Germany would have continued to enjoy all of the fruits that it was receiving from the Soviet Union.
Yes, but for how long? This would really depend on Stalin's patience. I have no doubt that while Hitler and Stalin refrain from taking overt action, the two would be sharpening their knives to stab each other's backs.
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Old May 21st, 2008, 01:56 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by RAM View Post
It seems to me that here you miss one important thing; the Soviet attack on Finland 13th of September 1939.

Finland was a small, peaceful nation without any territorial claims beyond its own borders.
But the Soviet Union had started its expansion towards the west.

As neighbours we know the finlanders as a though, hardworking people, with a special kind of resilience called "sisu".
I assume Stalin must have executed all his officers knowing this, because the Red Army ended up getting its nose bloodied.
The first Winter War revealed big flaws in the Red Army and its communist leadership.

The rest of the world was disgusted by this attack on a small, peaceful nation.

The poor performance by the Red Army was an important factor in Hitler's decision to attack The Soviet Union.

Regards
RAM
It was this action that precipitated the expulsion of the Soviet Union from the League of Nations was it not.

v.R.
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Old May 27th, 2008, 09:25 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Falcon Jun View Post
Yes, but for how long? This would really depend on Stalin's patience. I have no doubt that while Hitler and Stalin refrain from taking overt action, the two would be sharpening their knives to stab each other's backs.
No argument there friend.
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  #32 (permalink)  
Old May 28th, 2008, 12:40 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

Slava, are you a closet Trotskyist too?
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Old May 29th, 2008, 09:44 PM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by acker View Post

The war would take longer. There would be more deaths. But chance still favors the Allies.
How is this possible? Russia was responsible for the fighting of German units that otherwise would ahve forught the British and Americans in the west after D-Day. The Germans would have far more rescources that they wouldn't have committed to the Russian front. They could use these rescources to thier advantage against the UK and the US if it entered the war. The list goes on and on. There was a chance for HUGE successes if the USSR and Germany went neutral. But that is to say that they didn;t become allies...god forbid.
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Old May 30th, 2008, 03:33 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

Lets assume that Hitler for what ever reason decides to fight his own personal demons and decides not to invade the USSR, well for a start he could have committed more troops in North Africa, imagine the senario that an entire Army Group was transferred to North Africa and in conjunction to the Italians the British 8th Army was put up against say 40 to 50 divisions Axis divisions (within this 6 to 10 Panzer Divisions) and say an entire Luftflotte or two, Britain with all her resources could not possibly repulse this, Egypt would be Axis within weeks and that the Suez Canal would be in Axis hands, meaning that the entire Mediterannean is an Axis Lake, soon to fall would be Malta, Crete, Cyprus and of course in the end Gibraltar, this would also put the Vichy French firmly into the Axis fold.

I would expect that after achieving this the Axis would somehow make a major push into the Middle East and with an additional Army Group being landed in The Levant two major thrusts being launched into the Middle East. Axis gains the control of the Oil supplies of the Middle East, Britain is starved of vital oil supplies, Germany and Italy begin to establish Naval bases in the Indian Ocean eventually cutting all supply convoys from the east via the cape.

If the Soviets don't move into Iran then the Axis will, i could se the possibilities that the Axis could reach India by 1942. Once the British have been blockaded with the numorous Wolfpacks sinking any merchantman daring to enter the danger field, by 1942 i would suspect that Hitler would go for broke and launch total war on Britain, with an all out attack on Britain, also to end Hitler refuses to declare war on America after the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour, the Western Axis has by this stage has a "Britain First" policy.

v.R
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  #35 (permalink)  
Old May 30th, 2008, 06:57 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

If the Axis couldn't supply the scarce forces it had in Africa, how can you expect them to supply and "entire Army Group". Never mind the losses, just think of the shipping required and that was simply unavailable.

This 'nostalgia for what wasn't' can be tiresome at times.
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  #36 (permalink)  
Old May 31st, 2008, 01:38 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Za Rodinu View Post
If the Axis couldn't supply the scarce forces it had in Africa, how can you expect them to supply and "entire Army Group". Never mind the losses, just think of the shipping required and that was simply unavailable.

This 'nostalgia for what wasn't' can be tiresome at times.
Deleted post for personal reasons.

v.R
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Old May 31st, 2008, 06:21 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Za Rodinu View Post
So all efforts went into appeasing this monster, never giving it the slightest provocation, fulfilling to the last dot and comma the commercial agreements, and allowing all sorts of provocations, such as not defending against overflights of Soviet territory by German planes, etc.

1. Hitler informed Molotov that Finland was Germany's only supplier of a number of very important raw materials, but Molotov argued that Finland was a "threat to the national security of the USSR".

2. Why did Stalin take Bessarabia? He must have known that the Romanian oil fields were essential to the German war effort. I know it was agreed upon in the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, but then we are no longer talking about appeasement anymore, this could only be seem as a preparation for war. Why would Stalin take the step and ask for Bessarabia? Did he know that would threat the only oil supply Germany had?

3. Why did Stalin make a pact with the Yugoslav rebels when the Nazi puppet was overthrown?

All of the above suggest that the USSR was preparing for a war, what would you have done if you were Hitler? The conflict between Germany and Russia may seem inevitable when you read Mein Kempf, but Hitler didn't write anything about having Japan as an ally or fighting a war against Britain, but it happened.
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old May 31st, 2008, 06:38 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

All the mentioned parts of land were negotiated in the Ribbentrop pact. So the USSR was allowed to take them whenever felt the time was right. Hitler agreed to Stalinīs requests in 1939 because he needed the pact in Aug 1939 desperately, and believed everything would change one day back to normal, i.e. Barbarossa plan.

I am not sure why Stalin really made the pact with the Yugoslavīs but the Slav ties are always very close ( if they meant anything to Stalin ever really ).
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Old May 31st, 2008, 10:33 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by cross of iron View Post
1. Hitler informed Molotov ....

2. Why did Stalin take Bessarabia?

3. Why did Stalin make a pact with the Yugoslav rebels when the Nazi puppet was overthrown?

All of the above suggest that the USSR was preparing for a war, what would you have done if you were Hitler? The conflict between Germany and Russia may seem inevitable when you read Mein Kempf, but Hitler didn't write anything about having Japan as an ally or fighting a war against Britain, but it happened.
1. Yes. And?

2. Bessarabia was former Russian Crown territory.

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Bessarabia is a historical term for the geographic entity in Eastern Europe bounded by the Dniester River on the east and the Prut River on the west. This was the name by which Imperial Russia designated the eastern part of the principality of Moldavia, ceded by the Ottoman Empire (to which Moldavia was a vassal) to Russia in the aftermath of the Russo-Turkish War, 1806-1812. The western part of Moldavia united with Wallachia in 1859 in what would become the Kingdom of Romania. In 1918, slightly before the end of World War I, (during the Russian Civil War) Bessarabia declared its independence from Russia and after three months united with the Kingdom of Romania.
3. Sorry, fill me in with details as I can't remember the issue right now.

I fail to reach your conclusion. As said before, the USSR felt the border was too close for confort to the country's second largest city so negotiations were seeked with the Finnish government. These negotiations failed (details unnecessary now) and Winter War ensued. Bessarabia was separatist national territory, what would you say if, for instance, California declared independence and joined Mexico, or Northern Irlend seceded and joined the Republic?
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 02:36 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Za Rodinu View Post
1. Yes. And?

2. Bessarabia was former Russian Crown territory.



3. Sorry, fill me in with details as I can't remember the issue right now.

I fail to reach your conclusion. As said before, the USSR felt the border was too close for confort to the country's second largest city so negotiations were seeked with the Finnish government. These negotiations failed (details unnecessary now) and Winter War ensued. Bessarabia was separatist national territory, what would you say if, for instance, California declared independence and joined Mexico, or Northern Irlend seceded and joined the Republic?
Za Rodinu

On your last statement, pure Soviet propaganda, Supreme Soviet Joseph Stalin was just as big of a war monger as Fuhrer Adolf Hitler, Finland was a soft target, Stalin never forgave Finland from breaking away from Mother Russia, and neither did he forgive the Baltic, Byelorrusian and Ukrainian territories for doing the same, unlike the Baltic, Byelorusssia and Ukraine States. Finland fought back, told Stalin to shove his demands up where the sun don't shine, it had nothing to do with securing Leningrad. It mattered not if Germany declared war on the Soviets, the Soviets wanted Western Europe and given time it would have invaded Western Europe and have Communist states as far west as Ireland and Potugal and enslaved hundreds of millions and murdered tens of millions.

v.R
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 02:47 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by von Rundstedt View Post
Za Rodinu

On your last statement, pure Soviet propaganda, Supreme Soviet Joseph Stalin was just as big of a war monger as Fuhrer Adolf Hitler, Finland was a soft target, Stalin never forgave Finland from breaking away from Mother Russia, and neither did he forgive the Baltic, Byelorrusian and Ukrainian territories for doing the same, unlike the Baltic, Byelorusssia and Ukraine States. Finland fought back, told Stalin to shove his demands up where the sun don't shine, it had nothing to do with securing Leningrad. It mattered not if Germany declared war on the Soviets, the Soviets wanted Western Europe and given time it would have invaded Western Europe and have Communist states as far west as Ireland and Potugal and enslaved hundreds of millions and murdered tens of millions.

v.R
Von,
All of the information available on the matter would contradict such an observation. Stalin did not want to conquer Finland but only as Za correctly pointed out, to create a buffer zone for Russia's second largest city ( A legitimate reason as wars have been fought for less ). If Stalin wanted Finland, then he could have very well taken the opportunity of exacting revenge on the Fins as retribution for supporting Hitler and breaking the Moscow peace treaty but he did not. Instead, Stalin just took back the territories agreed upon after the Winter War between Finland and Soviet Union.

As for the Soviet Union taking over Western Europe, well that my friend has nor will ever be proven as there are no facts supporting it. I am afraid this is more of a myth created in the West.
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  #42 (permalink)  
Old June 3rd, 2008, 05:02 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Originally Posted by Falcon Jun View Post
Good point in airing that view, Za. I think that was a very logical thing to do for Stalin: letting the other countries to pound each other to bits allowing the Soviet Union later to pick up the pieces in an easier manner.

And that explains why Stalin was so ticked off when, from his perspective, the western Allies let the Soviets and Nazi's pound it each other to bits for three long years, and then stepped in, in June, 1944, to pick up the pieces. His own strategy apparently used against him, LOL!
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 05:21 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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Von,
All of the information available on the matter would contradict such an observation. Stalin did not want to conquer Finland but only as Za correctly pointed out, to create a buffer zone for Russia's second largest city ( A legitimate reason as wars have been fought for less ). If Stalin wanted Finland, then he could have very well taken the opportunity of exacting revenge on the Fins as retribution for supporting Hitler and breaking the Moscow peace treaty but he did not. Instead, Stalin just took back the territories agreed upon after the Winter War between Finland and Soviet Union.
Sloniksp

Was it not that the Soviet Union after been rebuffed by an independant sovereign Finland over territorial demands finally invaded and it was during this invasion that the League of Nations finally booted the Soviet Union out of the League of Nations for it's unprovoked invasion of Finland.

Also how many of those Finish POW's in Soviet hands returned to Finland, not many. Stalin dealt with breakaway territoried harshly, out of the 50,000 sevice troops in the Baltic States that were rounded up, only a handful came out of the war alive, we are talking about a monster that under his reign of terror murdered around 25 million of his own citizens.

I do believe that come hell or high water Stalin would eventually invade Western Europe after the Western Powers beat the you know what out of each other.

v.R
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 05:32 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets

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I would expect that after achieving this the Axis would somehow make a major push into the Middle East and with an additional Army Group being landed in The Levant two major thrusts being launched into the Middle East. Axis gains the control of the Oil supplies of the Middle East, Britain is starved of vital oil supplies, Germany and Italy begin to establish Naval bases in the Indian Ocean eventually cutting all supply convoys from the east via the cape.
If nothing else would have provoked the Soviets into attacking Hitler's Germany, this would have. The last thing Stalin wanted was to have German forces on the Soviet Union's southern flank, and Stalin would have reacted immediately to any such threat.

In any case, as another poster has pointed out, given the terrain in the Middle East, Germany didn't have the logistical capability to supply such forces overland (nobody did, except perhaps the United States), and the British Navy certainly would have put paid to any attempt to supply them by sea. Germany wasn't going to end up in control of the Middle East no matter what else happened; there were just too many powerful countries that would have violently opposed such a development. Even Axis ally Japan would have been very nervous about an event of that nature

As for Hitler "refusing to declare war on the US" after Pearl Harbor, that's pretty much a moot point because, one way or another, the US at war with one Axis partner will eventually go to war with the entire crowd, especially if the survival of Britain is at stake. the US already had a "Germany First" strategy before the Japanese attack on PH.
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Old June 3rd, 2008, 07:42 AM
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Default Re: What If Germany Didnt Declare war on the Soviets