All things Russia and Ukraine...

The Myth...


The Reality...

 

Not everything that is shown on Pxxxhub is a realistic representation of everyday life in Russia.
It wasn't my original intention to put it so drastically...but if Takao has already gone into advance:

 

Well, I've been in the US twice and in Russia once. I know what's I'm talking about. After a week in the US I finally have seen a real stunner, a bomb. When I came close to her I've realized she spoke Russian. That was the first and the last pretty woman in more than two weeks. Walking on streets of Moscow drove me crazy. So many, so pretty.

 

That's all well and good, but I'm getting more and more the impression that you're not concerned with military issues at all.
Pro-tip: There are clearly more suitable forums for your interests
Have a nice day

 

So many, so pretty....

Yep.

Hubba Hubba!

 

Quite the contrary. I was just about to ask this community of war experts for educated opinion.

Please, look at the map below. Unfortunately just Cyryllic was available. This was the only fresh map I could find despite searching everywhere to find in some Western language. None. Why they refrain from showing the current situation.

My question is: how many days Ukrainians will need to encircle the enemy and destroy them all? A week perhaps?... Or less?

 

What are you talking about? There is no war where Russians are involved according to Putin. Do you talk there is war? Putin said anybody saying there is war is a traitor.

Btw, if you say the fat woman spoke Russian remember when women are 20 they are pretty. After giving birth to 2-3 children not all lose the extra weight gained even in Russia . And btw2. In Russia young women only marry old men because the men have money and they live. Young men die due to alcohol and they don't have money. Too bad for you? Practically all Finnish men who worked in Russia have russian wives. And they are not 20-y old men. Didn't you know that? If you're 60-y old you got a good chance in Russia for a young wife.

500,000 men die of alcohol every year in Russia. No wonder Putin tried to make the little shops only sell beer during the late evening and night time.

 

The larger question is...How much longer will Russia need to conquer the Ukraine? Putin's War has already dragged on for over a month now. So how much longer? Another month, 6 months, a year.

For all the Russian shiny new toys, they are doing pretty poorly.

 

Vodka blamed for high death rates in Russia

If you compare the worst death toll was the 90´s and early 2000´s in this. And the age groups are practically the best for the Army ( 15-54 ), then, of course by now it would be 20-30 years added but it shows the trend of alcohol consumption by men and lost men to alcohol in Russia during the future years. Nearly half of the age groups to one in four died of alcohol. Quite awful, and then there is Tbc and HIV etc that are not treated and not even tried to stop them.

Interesting demographics pie....



A pie chart showing global military expenditures by country for 2018, in US$ billions, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies

International Institute for Strategic Studies

 

Eactly!
That is why I've asked that question.
Now, it is too early to make predictions on the outcome of the war.
Do you still recall:

“We have only to kick in the door,..”

An then Halder after a couple of weeks: "We've won!"

Let's see

 

It was Hitler who said "Kick in the door..." not the Generals....They were against the Barbarossa and were led against the plan by von Rundstedt nearly all of whom had been fighting in the Eastern front back in WW1. Naturally Hitler got his way.

Dictators are poor leaders. Stalin decided to protect Moscow with the troops attacking in December 1941 the whole width of AGC. Zhukov was against this. Without any points for the army to concentrate their power Stalin saved Hitler. Even later on in Kursk Stalin wanted to attack but Zhukov managed to make him change his mind to exhaust the German power by defence first and then attack. After that Zhukov led the Army.

In Ukraine it seems somebody is going to satisfy himself with Donbass instead with Blitzkrieg all of Ukraine or cut the Ukraine in half. The units that are capable of offensive action are moved to Donbass while the rest are digging holes in the ground for defence in the north. If the Ukraine Army is able to make successful attacks both north and south there will be somebody mad in Kreml. Just how long will it take to move the russian troops from Bielorussia to Donbass ( 2-4 weeks may not be enough?) and replace losses,too? Don´t say two days to one week or then we know you beeen reading Donald Duck too much.The first bigger troop placements were previously noted by satellite in early January. Moving tanks, men, food, get replacements, make plans and test them which is the best, aeroplanes, helicopters, where are fields for them, time tables for attack, reconnaissance which roads are usable ( blown bridges etc ), enemy formations etc etc. It is obvious the major plan has been changed and needs new plans and decisions who takes part and where. It will be a task since the russians have been holding onto their old plan for some five weeks and had to give up. And now we also have the morale of the russian troops to consider.

You simply don´t survive with a sentence " Let´s see".....Even Hitler had his first plan for Barbarossa or was it Operation Otto in May 1940 and he planned to attack May 15, then June 15, and ended up with June 22 1941.

 

Oh. I love this quote.

About oligarchs:

“Imagine they go to complain to Putin,” said a diplomat from a European country where several Russian oligarchs own large assets. “They say, ‘Can you please revise your policy? I lost $4bn of my $5bn’. Putin says, ‘Do you want to keep the $1bn?’”

 

@Kai-Petri
Brilliant analysis.

Now, does this look familiar?
Just put Donetsk at the southern flank and Uman at the northern flank. Then replace Kalach with Poltava. Mariupol is 2022 Stalingrad.

 

And the Putin's Soviets suffer a million plus casualties...Nice, real nice.

 

Well, have you finally noticed that I have refrained from responding to such moronic bunkum and balderdash.

 

Since you responded...What I posted must not be such moronic bunkum and balderdash.

Since I have two 8-year-old nephews, I am well versed in stooping down to a child's level. Now if you would just stop posting such moronic bunkum and balderdash, we'd be good.

 

Let us calculate 2+2
Just look at this:
1. Ukrainian authorities do not release foreign ships from ports
2. See the map below:
Do you see the pattern?

Hint: According to Reuters: U.S. Navy Left The Black Sea Unprotected Allowing Russia To Invade Ukraine

 

The longer the Russians are stuck to fighting in Mariupol the longer they aren't going anywhere else. So the russians got troops digging holes, travelling towards Eastern Ukraine, and troops fighting for Mariupol. In Crimea things look stuck as well.
I bet not what Putin wants. Heads will roll in Russia.

 

Curious? When did the Ukraine become the 51st State of the US? I must have missed it.

When did the Ukraine join NATO? I must have missed that too.

It appears that your calculations use only imaginary numbers.